Data | Patterns of violence in the Kashmir Valley

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Violence in the Kashmir Valley: Bullet-ridden glass after an encounter with safety forces that left two terrorists useless two days after a Kashmiri Pandit was killed, in Pulwama on Feb. 28, 2023. An Army jawan was additionally killed.

Targeted killings towards Kashmiri Pandits and minorities in the Kashmir Valley have been on the rise. The demise of Kashmiri Pandit and bank guard Sanjay Sharma in Pulwama, late final month, was the newest in a sequence of assaults towards the minority group. These assaults have elevated concern in the group and raised issues about the lack of safety. Sharma’s killing was the second such incident towards Kashmiri Pandits in Pulwama, the first being Janki Nath’s demise in 1990 at the peak of militancy. Sharma’s attacker was killed in a follow-up operation. However, this has executed little to allay the fears of the group. All the main political events in the Valley have condemned the assaults.

In 2022, terrorist assaults left 29 civilians useless, together with three native Pandits, three different Hindus and eight non-local labourers in Jammu and Kashmir. The unrest led to five,500 Pandit staff transferring out from the Valley. Since 2022, India has witnessed 315 incidents involving violent murders. Of these, Jammu and Kashmir account for 160 incidents adopted by the Maoist insurgency which was answerable for 126 incidents.

Data from the South Asia Terrorism portal present that violence has been on the rise in the Valley, following a interval of relative calm between 2011 and 2016 when a complete of 562 incidents associated to killings befell. In the final six years, nevertheless, there have been 948 incidents, near a 70% rise.  Chart 1 reveals the quantity of incidents since 2010 that resulted in fatalities. A killing-related incident is a terrorism-related occasion which ends in a minimum of one demise.

Chart 1

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After 2016, there was a spike in the deaths of each civilians and safety forces in comparability to the early 2010s. However, deaths amongst each these sections declined since 2018. SATP data present 30 civilian deaths in 2022. A bulk of them have been killings of Kashmiri Pandits and migrants, revealing a harmful sample of terrorists in search of to focus on spiritual minorities in the Union Territory.  Chart 2 reveals the quantity of civilians and safety personnel who have been killed between 2010 and 2022.

Chart 2

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These assaults have continued regardless of the administration claiming to offer satisfactory safety to the residents. Casualties amongst safety forces have additionally occurred throughout operations towards the perpetrators. For occasion, an Army jawan died in the operation to flush out the killers of Sharma.

Until 2007, civilian deaths fashioned a larger proportion of fatalities. In 2008, deaths amongst safety personnel rose and have been increased than civilian deaths.

South Kashmir, in explicit, has turn out to be a hotbed for terror-related civilian deaths. The district-wise share of civilian deaths since 2000 reveals that extra such fatalities are going down in South Kashmir, Budgam and Srinagar in central Kashmir. For instance, in 2022, 27% of all civilian deaths occurred in the Shopian district of South Kashmir, the place the share was zero till 2006.

In the 2000s, civilian deaths have been concentrated in Anantnag, Baramulla, Doda and Srinagar. During the calmer interval in the early to mid-2010s, Baramulla continued to see a excessive quantity of civilian deaths. These peaked in 2017 at 37% of the complete deaths. This was additionally the time when South Kashmir started to see an increase in civilian deaths, significantly in Pulwama.

From 2017 onwards, assaults on civilians have been largely restricted to South Kashmir. Kulgam and Shopian districts skilled the most civilian deaths, accounting for 20% and 27%, respectively.  Chart 3 reveals the district-wise share of civilian deaths in Kashmir between 2000 and 2022.

Chart 3

Source: South Asian Terrorism Portal

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