How independent will Mexico’s next president be? This controversy gives a hint

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When Claudia Sheinbaum received election in a landslide this month to turn out to be Mexico’s next chief, many puzzled how independent she could be from her mentor and predecessor, President Andrés Manuel López Obrador.

So far, the reply appears to be not very.

This week Sheinbaum threw her weight behind one in every of López Obrador’s most controversial proposals, a sweeping overhaul of the judicial system below which all federal judges, together with members of the Supreme Court, could be elected by well-liked vote.

The plan, which critics say would politicize the judiciary and provides much more energy to the ruling Morena celebration, has spooked markets, with the peso registering its steepest weekly decline towards the greenback since 2020.

Mexican President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum speaks at a information convention on the National Palace in Mexico City this week.

(Marco Ugarte / Associated Press)

López Obrador first proposed the reform in February, after a number of of his most sought-after initiatives, together with a dramatic reshaping of the nation’s electoral physique, have been hamstrung by Supreme Court rulings. He derided the judges on the nation’s highest court docket as being a part of a “power mafia” and stated they and different members of the judiciary needs to be elected similar to the president or senators.

For months, the plan appeared useless within the water as a result of his celebration didn’t have the votes wanted in Congress to make the mandatory modifications within the structure.

That modified this month, with Morena’s resounding victory in nationwide elections extensively considered as a referendum on López Obrador’s six-year time period in workplace.

Sheinbaum, the previous mayor of Mexico City and López Obrador’s political protégé, beat her nearest competitor by a margin of 32 factors. By the time she is sworn in as president on Oct. 1, Morena’s coalition will have a supermajority in the home of representatives and a easy majority within the Senate. It will management 24 of 32 governorships and boast supermajorities in no less than 21 of the 32 state legislatures. The new Congress takes workplace Sept. 1.

Andrés Manuel López Obrador

Outgoing President Andrés Manuel López Obrador introduced after the election that he would use his celebration’s domination of the brand new legislature to attempt to push via a controversial judicial reform earlier than he leaves workplace.

(Marco Ugarte / Associated Press)

Despite his lame duck standing, López Obrador introduced shortly after the election that he would benefit from Morena’s domination of the brand new legislature to attempt to push via the judicial reform earlier than he leaves workplace. That resulted within the peso shedding no less than 8% of its worth towards the greenback.

Sheinbaum, in an effort to calm fears, stated early within the week that she supported a collection of public boards to debate the reform. “Let there be a very broad discussion throughout the country,” she stated.

But on Thursday, she declared that the core of the proposal — that judges be chosen by well-liked vote — wouldn’t change. “My opinion is that judges should be elected,” she stated.

Carlos Bravo Regidor, a professor on the Center for Economic Research and Teaching in Mexico City, stated the truth that López Obrador was nonetheless dictating the nationwide dialog despite the fact that he’s on his manner out is an indicator of how he’ll proceed to be concerned.

“AMLO is signaling that he’s not really going to go away,” he stated.

Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador and Claudia Sheinbaum raising clasped hands over their heads

Then-Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum and Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador greet supporters at a marketing campaign occasion within the metropolis’s Zócalo 5 years in the past. Many have nervous about how independent López Obrador’s protégé will be as president.

(Fernando Llano / Associated Press)

Critics say the reforms would basically alter the steadiness of energy in Mexico by eradicating important checks and balances.

An evaluation of the reform carried out by the Inter-American Dialogue, the Stanford Law School Rule of Law Impact Lab and the Mexican Bar Assn. discovered that the proposals, if accredited, “would undermine the foundation of the rule of law in Mexico.”

“These proposals constitute a direct threat to judicial independence,” it stated. “They violate international legal standards on the independence, impartiality, and competence of the judiciary.”

Along with altering how judges are chosen, the reform would additionally cut back their phrases, peg their salaries to these of the manager department and create a judicial disciplinary tribunal whose members are elected by well-liked vote for phrases that coincide with the six-year presidential time period.

Most sitting judges, together with these on the Supreme Court, must conclude their time period when newly elected judges have been sworn in.

Javier Martin Reyes, a legislation professor on the National Autonomous University of Mexico, described the reform as López Obrador’s effort to purge the judiciary of potential roadblocks to Morena initiatives.

The only power that they do not control in Mexico is the judiciary,” he stated. “This is a weapon to capture this last institutional counterweight.”

Cecilia Sánchez Vidal in The Times’ Mexico City bureau contributed to this report.

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