Indian captain Rohit Sharma with teammate Virat Kohli. File
| Photo Credit: PTI
Humbled in Indore, an outright victory in Ahmedabad will seal India’s place within the World Test Championship final in opposition to Australia but when Rohit Sharma’s crew loses or performs a draw, its destiny will rely upon the result of the Sri Lanka-New Zealand collection.
Australia by advantage of their nine-wicket win in Indore have already certified for the grand finale on the Oval from June 7-11.
Australia are sitting atop the WTC desk with 68.52 share factors (PCT). Percentage factors are calculated when factors earned by a crew are divided by the factors contested for.
A crew earns 12 factors for a win, 4 for a draw and 6 in case it is a tie.
As of right this moment, Australia have 148 factors by advantage of 11 wins and 4 attracts from 18 matches. Playing for 216 factors on supply, they’ve a PCT of 68.52.
Even if Australia lose the fourth and final Test in opposition to India, they might nonetheless stay on prime with 64.91 PCT (148/228×100).
What occurs to India?
India’s PCT is 60.29 after incomes 123 factors in 17 Tests (10 wins and a pair of attracts) up to now. India have misplaced a couple of factors throughout the course of this cycle due to sluggish over fee.
If India win the last Test, their PCT will go up to 62.5 with 135 factors from a most of 216 on supply (18 Tests). They will then retain their second place and can qualify for final.
However, in case of a defeat, India’s PCT will drop to 56.94 after which they are going to have to rely upon the results of Sri Lanka’s away-series in opposition to New Zealand.
In case of a draw, India’s PCT will drop to 58.79 and even then they are going to have to wait for the results of the Sri Lanka-New Zealand collection.
Ditto in case of a tie the place India’s PCT will likely be 59.72.
How can Sri Lanka qualify?
Sri Lanka’s solely shot on the final qualification will rely upon a 2-Zero victory in New Zealand which is without doubt one of the hardest away task for sub continental groups.
Sri Lanka’s present PCT is 53.33 with 64 factors from attainable 120 (10 Tests).
If India occur to lose, draw or tie final Test and Sri Lanka win the collection 2-0, their PCT will likely be 61.11 with 88 factors from a most 144 factors at stake.
But if Sri Lanka attracts even one game and win 1-0, their most PCT will likely be 55.55 which will likely be lower than what India (56.94) can have even when they lose the final Test.