NEW DELHI: 2024 was by far the warmest year on report in the nation since 1901, IMD mentioned Wednesday. It additionally famous that the final three months of the year (Oct-Dec) collectively have been the warmest on report whereas Oct 2024, individually, was the warmest month in 123 years.
With an annual imply temperature of 25.75 levels Celsius, 2024 was 0.65 diploma C above the lengthy-time period common (1991–2020 interval). The earlier warmest year, 2016, had an anomaly of 0.54 diploma C. As annual averages go, the distinction of 0.11 diploma C between the imply temperature in 2016 and 2024 is kind of big.
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The report warmth in India was in sync with worldwide rise in annual common temperatures as world warming accelerates. The World Meteorological Organization has noticed that 2024 was globally the warmest year on report, exceeding the Paris Agreement threshold of 1.5 levels C of warming above pre-industrial (1850–1900) ranges for the primary time. This follows on from the report-breaking 1.45 levels C rise in 2023, the earlier globally warmest year on report.
Also learn: 2024 was China’s hottest year on report, claims climate company
Releasing the outlook for January, IMD mentioned month-to-month minimal (evening) temperatures are prone to be “above normal” (hotter) over most of India besides elements of UP and Rajasthan, some elements of MP and Gujarat and parts of east India corresponding to Bihar. , the place regular to beneath regular temperatures are seemingly.
Slightly extra rainfall than regular in Jan, forecasts IMD
IMD chief M Mohapatra, nonetheless, mentioned “above-normal cold wave days” are anticipated over western and northern elements of central India in the course of the month of Jan.
Specifically requested concerning the climate state of affairs in Prayagraj throughout Maha Kumbh (Jan 13-Feb 26), Mohapatra mentioned though there was a risk of beneath regular (colder) minimal (evening) temperature in the course of the interval, IMD would offer extra exact forecast nearer to the non secular festivals.
Probabilistic forecast map for Jan, launched by Met division, reveals the potential for colder day and evening (regular to beneath regular minimal/most temperatures) in the area, Prayagraj in Uttar Pradesh, in the course of the month.
Otherwise, the month-to-month most (day) temperatures for Jan are prone to be above regular (hotter) for “most parts of the country except some parts of the northwest, central and adjoining east India and central parts of South Peninsula” the place it’s prone to be regular to beneath regular.
As far as rainfall is worried, Jan is prone to witness barely extra rainfall than regular rains for the month – a state of affairs which can be useful for the standing Rabi (winter sown) crops in the course of the interval if its distribution is uniform.
IMD mentioned, “Monthly rainfall for Jan over north India consisting of seven Meteorological subdivisions (East Uttar Pradesh, West Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Haryana, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh) is most likely to be above normal,”
It mentioned the month-to-month rainfall even over the nation in Jan can be almost definitely to be above regular. “Above-normal rainfall is most likely over most parts of the country except some parts of northwest India and some pockets of the northeast and central India where normal to below normal rainfall is likely,” mentioned Met division.
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