As the playoffs heat up, the excitement for the NFL’s Final Four is palpable. Twenty-eight teams are out, and only four remain in the fight for the Lombardi Trophy.
The home teams performed well in the wild-card and divisional rounds, winning five out of six games. The surprise package this postseason has been the Commanders, who managed to secure a win on the road.
Last week’s matchups highlighted why it’s essential to compare betting lines. For instance, the Chiefs were favored between 7.5 and 9.5 points against the Texans. They won by nine, thanks to a late safety. Similarly, the Eagles started as 5.5-point favorites against the Rams, but that number shifted to 6 and then to 7 before they ultimately won by six—a reminder of the thin margin in sports betting.
In the Monday night game between Notre Dame and Ohio State, the spread fluctuated between 7.5 and 8.5 points. Ohio State led by eight until a dramatic last-second field goal. These close margins make it clear: always check around for the best betting line—it can make a significant difference.
Now, let’s focus on the games that will determine who heads to the Super Bowl.
Commanders @ Eagles (-6, 47)
Imagine telling a Cowboys fan that there would be an all-NFC East title game, and it’s not their team in it! The Commanders are set to face the Eagles in Philly, aiming for an unlikely conference championship.
These teams faced each other twice in the regular season, splitting wins. Notably, in the Commanders’ victory, Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts exited with a concussion early in the game. Given the Eagles’ talent and home-field advantage, I’m leaning toward them to win.
Although Jayden Daniels has shown promise as a rookie QB, beating the Eagles in Philadelphia will be a tough challenge. A good bet could be on Commanders wide receiver Dyami Brown, who’s had an impressive postseason with nearly 200 receiving yards in two games.
On the Eagles’ side, watching tight end Dallas Goedert to secure more than 3.5 catches might be smart, especially with the attention on running back Saquon Barkley. The Eagles should manage to pull away in this match.
PICK: Dyami Brown Over 43.5 receiving yards
PICK: Dallas Goedert Over 3.5 receptions
PICK: Eagles (-6) to win by more than 6 points
PREDICTION: Eagles 34, Commanders 17
Bills @ Chiefs (-2, 47.5)
For the fourth time in five years, the Bills and Chiefs are clashing in January. The Bills are determined to change their fortune and finally beat Kansas City after losing in earlier matchups.
This year feels different; the Chiefs are showing signs of being more vulnerable than in previous seasons. Yet, betting against Patrick Mahomes, especially at home, remains a daunting prospect. That’s why I’m sticking with the Chiefs for the win.
The Bills have been strong, dominating the turnover battle this season with a +24 margin. However, can they maintain such dominance? I doubt it. This game is likely to be high-scoring, so I’ll bet on Over 47.5 total points. Previous playoff games between them have been explosive, with lots of points scored.
PICK: Over 47.5 points scored by both teams combined
PICK: Chiefs (-2) to win by more than 2 points
PREDICTION: Chiefs 27, Bills 24
This NFL season continues to captivate fans, and with the playoffs underway, the action is only going to get more intense. Hold on tight as we approach the Super Bowl!
