2025 Oscar Predictions: The Contenders for Best Picture—Who Will Win and Who Deserves to Win?

This year’s Oscars are shaping up to be exciting, full of surprises and suspense as the winners are revealed live. The ceremony is set for March 2, 2025, at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles, hosted by Conan O’Brien.

Big names are competing across major categories. In the Best Picture race, “Anora” and “Conclave” are the frontrunners. For Best Actor, Timothée Chalamet is facing off against Adrien Brody, while Demi Moore is a strong contender in the Best Actress category alongside Mikey Madison.

Best Picture

Will Win, Should Win: “Anora”

“Anora” is grabbing attention with multiple awards, including the prestigious Cannes Palme d’Or. Its gripping story outshines “Conclave,” which touches on the election of a new pope but feels more cerebral and less engaging.

Best Actress

Will Win: Demi Moore, “The Substance”

Demi Moore is in the spotlight for her first Oscar nomination. She could win recognition for her career-defining role in a film that’s sparked mixed reactions. Meanwhile, Mikey Madison’s standout performance in “Anora” should also be acknowledged for its brilliance.

• Cynthia Erivo, “Wicked”
• Karla Sofía Gascón, “Emilia Pérez”
• Fernanda Torres, “I’m Still Here”

Best Actor

Will Win, Should Win: Timothée Chalamet, “A Complete Unknown”

Chalamet’s SAG Award win places him in a strong position for the Oscar. Despite Adrien Brody’s recognition for “The Brutalist,” Chalamet’s appeal, especially with American voters, might secure him the win.

Best Supporting Actress

Will Win, Should Win: Zoe Saldana, “Emilia Pérez”

Despite controversies surrounding “Emilia Pérez,” Saldana’s powerful performance as a lawyer has resonated with audiences. Her consistent wins hint at a likely Oscar victory.

Best Supporting Actor

Will Win, Should Win: Kieran Culkin, “A Real Pain”

Kieran Culkin shines in his role, drawing comparisons to Robert Downey Jr.’s magnetic performances. His portrayal of a troubled cousin adds depth to the film.

Best Director

Will Win: Sean Baker, “Anora”

Sean Baker’s established reputation in indie cinema and must-see films like “The Florida Project” places him ahead. His masterful direction has received high praise at the DGA.

Should Win: Brady Corbet, “The Brutalist”

Corbet’s ambitious vision in “The Brutalist” creates a majestic experience, challenging the limits of independent filmmaking.

Best International Film

Will Win, Should Win: “I’m Still Here”

This Brazilian film has captured hearts, particularly after its actress’s surprise win at the Golden Globes. “I’m Still Here” is gaining momentum and passionate supporters in the U.S.

• “The Girl with the Needle,” Denmark
• “Emilia Pérez,” France
• “The Seed of the Sacred Fig,” Germany
• “Flow,” Latvia

Best Song

Will Win: “El Mal,” from “Emilia Pérez”

This catchy tune has become a favorite. It’s an easy pick for the Oscars, although some believe others deserve more recognition.

• “The Journey” from “The Six Triple Eight”
• “Like a Bird” from “Sing Sing”
• “Mi Camino” from “Emilia Pérez”
• “Never Too Late” from “Elton John: Never Too Late”

Best Original Screenplay

Will Win, Should Win: “Anora”

The twist-filled script keeps viewers on edge, showcasing Baker’s exceptional writing skills.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Will Win, Should Win: “Conclave”

The adaptation by Peter Straughan turns a complex novel into a heartfelt narrative, blending intimacy with grand cinematic moments.

Best Animated Feature Film

Will Win, Should Win: “The Wild Robot”

This film might exceed the standard set by previous winners. While “Flow” could surprise, “The Wild Robot” likely has the edge.

• “Flow”
• “Inside Out 2”
• “Memoir of a Snail”
• “Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl”

Best Cinematography

Will Win, Should Win: “The Brutalist”

The stunning visual storytelling in “The Brutalist” showcases remarkable cinematography that elevates the film experience.

Best Original Score

Will Win, Should Win: “The Brutalist”

Blumberg’s score combines intense elements with melodic beauty, making it unforgettable.

Best Editing

Will Win, Should Win: “Anora”

If the film continues to capture Oscar attention, its editing will support its overall narrative strength.

Best Production Design

Will Win: “Wicked”

“Wicked” has a nostalgic charm that resonates with many voters, which may give it an edge despite some doubts about its nominations.

Should Win: “Dune: Part Two”

The design in “Dune: Part Two” is groundbreaking, showcasing detailed and imaginative worlds.

Best Costume Design

Will Win, Should Win: “Wicked”

The costumes are striking, connecting the familiar with fresh details, enhancing the visual narrative.

Best Hair and Makeup Design

Will Win, Should Win: “The Substance”

The transformative makeup in this film showcases impressive artistry that stands out.

• “A Different Man”
• “Emilia Pérez”
• “Nosferatu”
• “Wicked”

Best Visual Effects

Will Win, Should Win: “Dune: Part Two”

The visual effects in “Dune: Part Two” create a mesmerizing experience, pushing boundaries and captivating viewers.

Best Sound

Will Win: “A Complete Unknown“

This film’s sound design transports audiences back to a different era, enhancing the overall journey.

Should Win: “Dune: Part Two“

The rich audio landscape in “Dune” is a critical element that adds depth to its storytelling.