We’ve always thought the universe would keep expanding forever, driven by something called the “cosmological constant.” This concept suggests that galaxies are drifting apart indefinitely. But new research challenges this idea. It proposes that, instead, the universe’s expansion could slow down, stop, and even reverse in the far future. This theory suggests that the cosmological constant is negative, contrary to our long-held beliefs.
A recent study indicates the universe’s total lifespan might be around 33 billion years. Currently, it’s about 13.8 billion years old, which leaves us with about 20 billion years ahead. This timeline might feel unimaginable, but it provides a clear prediction about our cosmic future.
The study links this notion to dark energy, which is believed to drive the universe’s accelerating expansion, and a hypothetical particle called an axion. Researchers have created a model that merges these concepts and tested it with data from new telescope surveys.
Henry Tye, an emeritus physics professor at Cornell University, updated previous theories about the cosmological constant. He analyzed new measurements and assessed how slowly changing dark energy could impact the universe’s fate. “For the last 20 years, many have thought the cosmological constant is positive and that the universe will expand forever,” Tye stated. “New data suggest it could be negative, leading to a big crunch.”
Dark energy pushes the universe to expand. When its pressure-to-density ratio equals -1, it acts like a constant that doesn’t change with time. Previous measurements supported this idea, but new findings from the Dark Energy Survey (DES) and the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) hint that this ratio might slightly change. If that’s true, dark energy may evolve over time.
In this context, an axion is a theoretical particle that could mimic dark energy’s effects early on and shift behavior later. Initially, the axion could contribute significantly to the universe’s acceleration, but as it changes, its influence may lessen, paving the way for the negative cosmological constant to take over. Tye emphasized the model’s ability to predict not just that the universe could collapse, but also when and how it might happen.
Researchers used the Friedmann equations, which describe cosmic expansion, to project the future. They began with rough estimates and refined their results through numerical calculations, arriving at a similar conclusion: a point of turnaround followed by contraction once the universe reaches its peak size.
The outcomes from DES and DESI provide potential evidence for evolving dark energy. However, the universe’s predicted timeline isn’t set in stone. Variations in the model’s parameters can lead to longer lifespans. As more data is gathered, researchers hope to clarify these uncertainties.
The implications of a changing cosmological constant are significant. If current trends hold, we may have only 20 billion years left in the universe’s lifespan. If they shift, our understanding of cosmic timeframes could change dramatically.
These timelines are enormous, far beyond our everyday experiences. Stars will form and die, and galaxies will constantly evolve. Civilizations may rise and fall countless times before any noticeable slowdown in the universe’s expansion.
In the end, the new research suggests the universe might have a finite future, shifting away from the idea of infinite expansion. This understanding paves the way to calculate what the universe’s future could look like.
For more details on this fascinating study, you can check out the full publication on arXiv.