Humanity is at a critical juncture. UN Secretary-General António Guterres has issued a dire warning: we are on track to exceed the 1.5°C limit outlined in the Paris Agreement, leading to severe consequences for our planet. As the upcoming COP30 climate summit approaches in Belém, Brazil, he stresses the urgency for leaders to act now.
Guterres pointed out that delaying emission cuts raises the stakes. We risk hitting “tipping points” that could trigger irreversible damage in vital ecosystems like the Amazon and Arctic. He said, “We’ve failed to prevent an overshoot above 1.5°C in the coming years. This could lead to catastrophic results.”
The last decade has been the hottest ever recorded, primarily due to the reliance on fossil fuels. Alarmingly, less than a third of countries have submitted their climate action plans, known as NDCs (Nationally Determined Contributions). The United States, for instance, pulled out of the Paris Agreement under Trump, while countries like China have been criticized for not doing enough.
Guterres believes that if we stay on this path, emissions could at best drop by 10%, far below the 60% reduction we need to maintain the 1.5°C target. He remains hopeful that if we can manage the overshoot, there’s still a chance to bring temperatures back down by century’s end.
He also highlighted the need for more diverse voices in climate discussions, particularly from Indigenous communities, who often serve as the best stewards of the environment. Their insights could guide political leaders toward a more harmonious relationship with nature.
This sentiment aligns with a recent Nature Climate Change report indicating that Indigenous lands hold 80% of the world’s biodiversity. Guterres emphasized investing in these communities, stating, “They are the best guardians of nature.”
One initiative at COP30 aims to raise $125 billion to protect tropical forests, allocating substantial funds directly to Indigenous peoples living in these regions. They have the greatest stakes in preserving biodiversity and combatting climate change.
Looking ahead, Guterres voiced concern over a potential “free-for-all” scenario if global agreements fail. He noted that wealthier nations and corporations might shield themselves from the increasing disasters brought on by climate change, while vulnerable communities suffer.
As he prepares to step down next year, Guterres reflects on his tenure, underscoring the critical importance of climate action. “We must work hard to protect our most precious possession: our natural world,” he affirmed.
The time to act is now. Our choices today will shape the future for generations to come. For further reading, you can find more insights on climate action from the UN Climate Change and Nature Climate Change.


















