New Delhi: Bangladesh is gearing up for parliamentary elections in February 2026, but recent violence triggered by the death of Sharif Osman Hadi has raised serious concerns. Hadi, a key anti-Hasina leader, was shot in Dhaka and later died in Singapore, becoming a symbol for extremist movements in the country.
This unrest hasn’t just stayed within Bangladesh’s borders. Attacks on minorities, Indian diplomatic missions, and independent media outlets signify a dangerous shift towards more extreme anti-India sentiments. The political tensions, which initially seemed domestic, are now intertwined with communal and geopolitical issues affecting India and South Asia’s overall stability.
In 2020, over 60% of Bangladeshis expressed dissatisfaction with the government’s handling of religious minorities, according to a recent survey. Violent incidents following Hadi’s death highlight this growing discontent, especially with reports of lynchings and targeted attacks on Hindus, which have escalated fears among religious minorities.
As the country prepares for elections, the climate of fear raises questions about whether the polls can occur peacefully and fairly. Historical context reveals that Bangladesh has faced similar cycles of violence in past elections, often leading to political instability. However, the intensity of the current situation is alarming, especially with extremist groups gaining traction.
Saifur Rahman Tapan, a journalist from Dhaka, notes that the political landscape is starkly divided. The pro-liberation camp, led by the Awami League under Sheikh Hasina, has historically ruled, while the anti-liberation faction, including radical groups, is gaining momentum. This division is rooted in Bangladesh’s liberation struggle and continues to shape current politics.
India, which has deep ties with Bangladesh, is closely monitoring the developments. Recent attacks on its diplomatic missions indicate unsettling shifts that threaten bilateral relations. As tensions rise, the Indian government has expressed its concerns to Bangladeshi officials, urging for an inclusive and peaceful political process.
The rise in anti-India rhetoric is particularly troubling. An expert in Bangladeshi politics warns that these events are not isolated and suggest influence from external parties, particularly Pakistan and China. This realization poses a security risk for India, emphasizing the interconnectedness of regional stability.
As we observe the situation, it becomes clear that Bangladesh’s political turmoil has implications beyond its own borders. The upcoming elections will not only shape the country’s future but also influence the broader regional order, making it a critical juncture for South Asia.
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SHARIF OSMAN HADI, INDIA BANGLADESH, SOUTH ASIA, BANGLADESH, BANGLADESH AT BREAKING POINT: IMPLICATIONS FOR INDIA AND SOUTH ASIAN STABILITY
