Jason Day is a well-known golfer with 13 career wins on the PGA Tour. He’s had notable success at the Farmers Insurance Open, winning it in 2015 and 2018. This year, he enters the tournament with confidence after a strong T-3 finish at The American Express. Day has had mixed results at the Farmers Insurance Open, finishing T-7 or better in two of his last four appearances, but he also missed the cut twice.
The 2025 Farmers Insurance Open kicks off at Torrey Pines Golf Course on January 22. Day is currently a 28-1 longshot to win, with favorites including Hideki Matsuyama and Ludvig Aberg at 10-1. Other contenders are Tony Finau and Sungjae Im at 20-1, and Keegan Bradley and Will Zalatoris at 22-1. The defending champion, Matthieu Pavon, has odds of 120-1 to win again.
Sports analysts have crunched the numbers for the tournament, and the results might surprise you. After simulating the tournament 10,000 times, they found some interesting predictions.
One key prediction is that Ludvig Aberg, currently ranked No. 6 in the world and one of the favorites, may not take the top spot. Despite a recent T-5 finish at The Sentry, Aberg has challenges to overcome at Torrey Pines. He ranks low in driving accuracy and total driving, which could hinder his performance on this tricky course.
On the other hand, Max Greyserman, listed at 25-1, has a better chance than his odds suggest. Coming off a T-7 finish at The American Express, Greyserman ranks high in several important stats: he’s ninth in birdies per round and 13th in greens in regulation. These strengths could put him in a strong position at the Farmers Insurance Open.
As the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open approaches, many eyes will be on these players and their potential to surprise the golfing world. The tournament format and the challenging course at Torrey Pines promise to create an exciting atmosphere for fans and participants alike.