This weekend was a mixed bag for teams in the tournament bracket. The top six teams continued to dominate, but after that, things got chaotic. Eleven out of the next fourteen teams faced losses, leading to minimal shifts in seedings. Michigan State was the big winner, improving by two seed lines, while most other teams adjusted one line up or down. In fact, only half of the fourteen teams changed at all.
Looking at the current standings, Illinois sits at 23rd in the NET rankings with a record of 17-11. They are on the edge of comfort as a No. 8 seed. However, they recently suffered a tough 43-point loss to Duke, marking their third consecutive defeat against top-10 teams. Their tournament résumé is starting to show some wear, particularly with an 11-11 record against top-tier opponents. Illinois has critical games ahead against Iowa and Purdue at home, as well as a road matchup with Michigan. Losing two of the next three could force the Illini to secure wins in the Big Ten Tournament, though I’m not overly concerned just yet. A loss to Iowa, however, would heighten the stakes significantly.
On a positive note, Indiana recently made its way into the bracket after a strong second half against Purdue. Arkansas also claimed a key victory over Missouri to secure their spot. Meanwhile, Texas and Georgia have dropped out, highlighting the ongoing shuffle among teams in the SEC.
There are some unique elements in this bracket setup. Currently, three SEC teams are positioned as top seeds, while two others hold No. 4 seeds. This arrangement could lead to two SEC teams potentially facing off as early as the Sweet 16, which is less than ideal. The committee typically tries to keep conference rivals apart until later rounds.
Occasionally, to adhere to bracketing rules, the committee makes seed adjustments. For instance, I had to switch BYU and Gonzaga’s placements to ensure BYU wouldn’t have to play on a Sunday, respecting the team’s religious observance. Compromises like this are often necessary in bracket construction.
Additionally, the committee aims for balance among the top four seeds in each region. They calculate the total seed numbers and strive to keep the differences minimal. For instance, Wisconsin and Michigan were swapped to achieve a more balanced setup, even though it normally favors the higher seed geographically.