More than 100,000 fans are set to gather at Churchill Downs for the 2025 Kentucky Derby this Saturday. The race starts at 6:57 p.m. ET, and all eyes are on the horse Journalism, currently the 3-1 favorite. However, recent trends haven’t been on the side of favorites, as none have won in the last six years. It’s important to keep this in mind when deciding how to place your bets.
Expert Insights
Gene Menez, a seasoned horse racing expert and former Sports Illustrated reporter, has a record of successful predictions, including hitting the superfecta in 2015. His insights often offer valuable information for bettors looking for an edge.
For 2025, Menez has picked some surprising contenders. He’s wary of Sandman (6-1), despite his Arkansas Derby win. Sandman took five tries to earn a graded stakes victory and has had a tough time at Churchill Downs, failing to win in three attempts. Menez believes that while Sandman is a talented horse, his odds may not justify a bet this year.
On the flip side, Menez sees potential in Burnham Square, a 12-1 longshot. Burnham Square recently triumphed in the Blue Grass Stakes and has shown impressive late speed. This could be advantageous in the longer race of the Kentucky Derby, which spans 1 1/4 miles. Menez believes Burnham Square might surprise many bettors come Saturday.
Bettor Reactions
The excitement isn’t just at the track; social media is buzzing. Fans are discussing which horses they believe can break the "favorite’s curse." Hashtags like #KentuckyDerby2025 are trending, with users sharing their insights and picks.
Historical Context
In recent years, the Kentucky Derby has seen an increase in unpredictability. Justify was the last horse to achieve the Triple Crown in 2018. Since then, none of the favorites have managed to win. This sets the stage for what could be a dramatic race.
Current Odds
Fans can find the latest odds on popular betting sites. Staying updated on each horse’s performance and news leading up to the race is crucial for making informed bets.
As the race day approaches, many are eager to see if Journalism can break the trend, or if a dark horse like Burnham Square will steal the show. Whether you’re rooting for a favorite or seeking value in longshots, this year’s Derby promises to be an exciting event.