Axial Seamount: An Underwater Volcano on the Move
About 300 miles off Oregon’s coast, an underwater volcano called Axial Seamount is showing signs of activity. Scientists have been watching this unique volcano for years, and recent events — like increased earthquakes and swelling in its structure — suggest it might be primed for an eruption soon. Bill Chadwick, a volcanologist at Oregon State University, notes that an eruption could happen at any time before the end of the year.
Chadwick and his team, along with researchers from the University of Washington and the University of North Carolina Wilmington, have been using sensors on the seafloor to track Axial’s behavior. Just a few months ago, they recorded more than 1,000 earthquakes in a single day. This kind of activity usually means the volcano is filling with molten rock, which is a strong signal for potential eruption.
Chadwick compares Axial Seamount to Hawaii’s volcanoes, which erupt more fluid lavas. He explains that as volcanoes prepare to erupt, they often inflate, similar to a balloon filling with air. At Axial, the seafloor is actually rising, indicating that change is underway.
Fortunately, Axial Seamount poses little threat to humans. It’s located about a mile deep in the ocean and far from shore, meaning an eruption would likely go unnoticed on land. “Even if you were nearby on a boat, you probably wouldn’t know it was erupting,” Chadwick said.
However, the historical eruptions at Axial Seamount are spectacular in scale. During its last eruption in 2015, an immense amount of magma was released. One lava flow was around 450 feet thick — about two-thirds the height of Seattle’s Space Needle.
Axial Seamount exists on a geological hotspot where molten rock rises from deep within the Earth. It’s located at the intersection of the Pacific Plate and the Juan de Fuca Plate, both massive tectonic plates that are slowly drifting apart. This movement creates ongoing volcanic activity and produces new ocean crust.
Chadwick has been observing this volcano for 30 years, and in that time, it has erupted three times: in 1998, 2011, and 2015. Currently, his team is hoping to improve eruption prediction models by studying Axial Seamount’s unique patterns of activity.
Predicting volcanic eruptions is complex. Scott Nooner, a geophysicist at the University of North Carolina Wilmington, explains that volcanoes can act unpredictably, making forecasting challenging. “It’s much harder than predicting the weather, which is already tough,” he said.
While scientists can provide short-term forecasts — just hours before an eruption — longer-term predictions are still tricky. This is where Axial Seamount becomes a vital testing ground. “We can experiment without the high stakes that come with land-based volcanoes,” Nooner emphasizes.
In conclusion, as Axial Seamount continues to rumble, scientists remain vigilant. Their research not only aims to unravel the mysteries of underwater volcanoes but also to advance the science of eruption forecasting. Understanding these natural wonders can provide critical insights, potentially improving safety measures for future volcanic threats.
For further reading on volcanic activity and safety measures, check out resources from the US Geological Survey.