Lionsgate’s new Michael Jackson biopic, Michael, is set to make a big splash at the global box office, with projections estimating it could earn around $150 million this weekend. The film had a hefty production budget of $200 million, but Lionsgate took steps to spread out its financial risk by securing international distribution through Universal Pictures, except for Japan, which has its own distributor.
Early estimates suggest that Michael could shatter previous records for music biopics. It aims to surpass Straight Outta Compton‘s $60.2 million and Bohemian Rhapsody‘s $51 million opening weekends. Currently, it’s predicted to pull in between $65 million and $70 million from 3,900 theaters, which includes 1,600 IMAX and premium screens.
The premiere event at the Dolby Theatre was electric, filled with cheers and applause throughout the film’s 127-minute runtime. Instead of the usual pre-film Q&A, producers Graham King and Antoine Fuqua introduced a special lineup of Jackson family members including Prince Jackson and Jaafar Jackson, among others.
Internationally, Michael is expected to rake in between $75 million and $80 million from 82 markets. Notably, the film is skipping South Korea’s opening until May 13, with Japan set for a June release.
In comparison, Bohemian Rhapsody opened to $69 million without the same type of preview income, eventually grossing an impressive $910.8 million worldwide.
Originally slated for release in April 2025 and then pushed to October, Michael faced some challenges during production. The estate of Michael Jackson required additional filming because certain legal constraints prevented depiction of an accuser. The estate reportedly funded the $15 million for these reshoots.
Though early reviews on Rotten Tomatoes don’t look promising at 33%, audience enthusiasm is high. Ticket presales are strong, particularly in Brazil, France, and Germany, where Jackson has a storied history.
An extravagant global premiere in Germany showcased a variety of interactive experiences, allowing fans to engage with the film’s themes and the man himself. From virtual reality dance-offs to displays of iconic costumes, the event drew attention and celebrated Jackson’s legacy.
Interestingly, Jackson’s popularity in China is a mixed bag. While he’s not as iconic there as in Japan, older audiences still recognize him. The film is faring well on platforms like Maoyan, scoring over 100,000 users excited for its release. Historically, his concert film This Is It earned $268 million worldwide, with Japan contributing a significant $57 million.
As we anticipate the film’s reception, it’s apparent that Michael stands poised to make a considerable impact, tapping into the enduring legacy of the King of Pop.
For more details on box office performance and pop culture, consider checking out resources such as Box Office Mojo and The Hollywood Reporter.
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