Debunking Trump’s Inflation Claims: BBC Verify’s In-Depth Fact-Check on US Economic Growth

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Debunking Trump’s Inflation Claims: BBC Verify’s In-Depth Fact-Check on US Economic Growth

President Donald Trump recently delivered a speech focused on the US economy, highlighting what he believes are his administration’s successes over the past year. He boldly claimed, “inflation is defeated.” However, recent statistics show that prices rose by 2.7% in the year ending December. While this is lower than the 3% inflation rate when he took office, it remains above the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%.

Trump criticized former President Joe Biden, stating he oversaw “the worst inflation in the history of our country.” This claim ignites debate, especially considering inflation peaked at 9.1% in June 2022, influenced by global events like Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Yet, historically, the worst inflation rates in the US were much higher—reaching 23.7% in 1920 and spiking again in the 1970s and 1980s.

During his speech, Trump also claimed that the US economy is “exploding” and performing at “all-time high” levels. Recent data does indicate growth; the economy grew at an annual rate of 4.3% in the third quarter of 2025, an improvement from the previous quarter. This marks the strongest growth in two years but doesn’t represent an all-time high.

He referenced falling petrol prices as another sign of success. While prices have decreased, it’s essential to consider broader economic trends and user reactions. On social media, many users express skepticism about the portrayal of economic successes, often comparing current claims to past data. For example, recent polls reveal that public trust in economic claims fluctuates significantly based on political affiliation.

Historically, perceptions of the economy often reflect not just statistical truths but also personal experiences. A survey from the Pew Research Center shows that many Americans feel economic progress is slow, regardless of the data presented. This sentiment can shape political narratives and elections.

In conclusion, while there are positive signs of growth, bold claims about defeating inflation and record-setting economic performance deserve careful scrutiny. For a deeper dive into monetary policy and its implications, consider exploring resources from the Federal Reserve.



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