Climate change and biodiversity loss are significant threats we face today. Understanding how these challenges intertwine can be complex. One way scientists study past climate shifts is through fossils, particularly those of foraminifera.
Foraminifera are tiny, single-celled marine organisms. They have calcium carbonate shells, which can tell us a lot about past ocean conditions. These organisms thrive in oceans worldwide, making their fossils abundant. “Studying a foram’s shell lets us know the water temperature it lived in,” explains micropaleontologist Andy Fraass. This insight helps scientists unravel how marine ecosystems reacted to earlier climate changes.
By drilling into the ocean floor, researchers can uncover layers of sediment filled with foram fossils. This method has revealed a detailed history of life in our oceans. “Each sample tells a story,” says paleoceanographer Chris Lowery. A recent study highlights that foraminifera have been around since the Jurassic period, over 180 million years ago, and faced significant challenges during history’s most catastrophic events, like the asteroid impact that led to the dinosaurs’ extinction 66 million years ago.
After the asteroid hit, sunlight was blocked for years. This disrupted the food chain, leading to the extinction of many planktonic foraminifera. “About 90% of them disappeared,” Lowery adds. After such a massive loss, it took approximately 10 million years for their diversity to recover. According to Fraass, extinction events can lead to rapid evolution in remaining species, allowing them to explore new niches and flourish.
Fast-forward to a more recent event: the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum, about 56 million years ago. Global temperatures spiked due to volcanic activity, yet not many foraminifera went extinct this time. They adapted by moving to cooler regions. This flexibility shows how species might respond to current climate changes. Marine ecologist Tracy Aze notes that recent warming has already led many species to shift towards the poles, similar to past behaviors.
Aze’s recent research indicates that significant changes in foraminifera diversity might already be unfolding. As species travel to find suitable habitats, we are observing a decline in diversity, particularly near the equator. “If the temperatures keep rising, this trend will likely continue,” she warns.
Looking further ahead, a 2023 study by Paul Pearson and others predicts a potential drop in food availability in the ocean’s twilight zone, a critical area for marine life. They estimate that a mild warming scenario could reduce food supply by more than 20%, and in severe conditions, it could drop by up to 70%. This area is crucial for various marine species, including those that depend on foraminifera for survival.
Historically, foraminifera have bounced back after major extinction events. However, experts like Fraass caution that the rapid pace of current climate change poses unprecedented challenges. While foraminifera are likely to survive in some form, recovery times could stretch for millennia, complicating predictions for marine biodiversity. As Lowery succinctly puts it, “Ask me again in a couple thousand years.”
For a deeper exploration of these findings, check out the full article on Knowable Magazine.