As the 90-day pause on tariffs is set to end soon, markets are bracing for potential shifts. President Trump’s temporary halt was expected to be extended, but officials now indicate that higher duties will resume on August 1 unless countries strike deals with the U.S.
The situation has investors on edge. Just days ago, U.S. stock futures fell. As of Sunday evening, Dow futures dropped by 120 points—or 0.27%—while S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures decreased by 0.41% and 0.50%, respectively. This follows a more dramatic downturn earlier in the week, triggered by Trump’s discussion of tariffs rising as high as 70%.
Economists weigh in on the possible effects of resumed tariffs. According to Dr. Sarah Kaplan, an economic analyst, “The reintroduction of these tariffs could slow down economic growth again, as businesses adjust to new costs.” Historical data shows that past tariff increases often lead to market instability. For example, a similar tariff spike in 2018 resulted in a notable stock market crash.
Additionally, recent data from the American Chamber of Commerce shows that 53% of small businesses fear negative impacts from these tariff changes. This sentiment highlights the pressure on companies trying to navigate an uncertain economic landscape.
Beyond stocks, commodity prices are also reacting. Oil prices have fallen, with U.S. oil down by 1.72% to $65.85 per barrel. Gold also dipped slightly, while the dollar weakened against both the euro and the yen.
Looking ahead, the market awaits minutes from the Federal Reserve’s recent meeting, scheduled to be released Wednesday. This document could provide more context for upcoming monetary policies and their potential influence on financial markets.
Overall, the landscape is shifting, and both businesses and investors are watching closely. The balance between negotiating favorable trade agreements and managing tariffs will be crucial in the weeks to come.
For more details on economic impacts of tariffs, consult the American Economic Association for research and findings.
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Donald Trump,Stock,Tariffs and trade