In a dramatic election marked by tension and division, Ecuador’s President Daniel Noboa has won a second term. He defeated leftist candidate Luisa González, securing 55.85% of the votes with over 92% of ballots counted. This victory comes just a little more than a year after his previous election win, where Noboa edged out González by a narrow margin.

Noboa, whose rise to power began after taking over from former President Guillermo Lasso, celebrated his win as a "historic victory." He emphasized the clear margin of over a million votes, urging everyone to recognize the choice made by the Ecuadorian people.
The election atmosphere was closely watched by international observers from the European Union and the Organization of American States, who described everything as proceeding normally. However, González has rejected the official results, claiming the process was rigged. She vowed to contest the election, calling for a recount and alleging electoral fraud, while her supporters echoed her calls from the crowd.
One of the notable aspects of this election is the backdrop of increasing violence in Ecuador. Noboa campaigned heavily on his "war on drugs," which he declared in early 2024, aiming to tackle rising crime driven by drug cartels. Unfortunately, this aggressive strategy led to a troubling rise in human rights abuses, along with Ecuador’s homicide rate hitting alarming levels. In a 2024 report, Ecuador faced the highest homicide rate in Latin America, a stark contrast to its reputation as one of the safest countries in the region just a few years earlier.
Despite the challenges, Noboa’s administration has focused on making hard choices in the face of a struggling economy. The country has contended with an energy crisis impacting daily life, including blackout schedules that stretched up to 14 hours. The GDP has also shrunk, increasing the poverty rate even more.
Noboa’s governance approach included declaring states of emergency multiple times. Just a day before this latest election, he signed a decree granting himself expanded powers due to escalating violence—a decision that faced significant backlash from opposition groups and critics.
González represents a faction of the Ecuadorian left, heavily linked to former president Rafael Correa. Even though she had strong backing, she fell short this time. Correa’s influence still looms large in Ecuadorian politics, and his ongoing legal troubles add complexity to the political landscape. His supporters and opponents continue to battle over his legacy, deepening the divide in the country during a time of uncertainty.
As Noboa begins his new term, he’ll face significant challenges ahead. This election outcome not only highlights the split in Ecuadorian society but also raises questions about the future trajectory of the nation and its political stability. The voices of discontent echoed by González and her supporters hint at the ongoing turbulence that may shape the governance and political discourse in Ecuador for years to come.
For further insights on the political situation in Ecuador, you can read the official report from the National Electoral Council here.
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