Last weekend’s NFL Wild Card games didn’t exactly thrill us with tight competition. But as we head into the divisional round, things are looking more promising.
Let’s break down some exciting matchups and share my top bets, including a few player props.
Saturday, Jan. 18
Texans @ Chiefs (4:30 p.m., ESPN)
The Chiefs will face the Texans after Houston upset the Chargers 32-12 last weekend. This game is a rematch of their earlier clash, where Kansas City won 27-19 at home. The Chiefs have had some time off since they secured the top seed in the playoffs, which should benefit their key players, especially tight end Travis Kelce.
This season, Kelce was a big part of the Chiefs’ offense, racking up 97 catches from 133 targets. After some rest, he’ll likely become Patrick Mahomes’ go-to option again. Historically, when Kelce has had a break before a playoff game, he tends to shine. He has consistently been a reliable target, often pulling in multiple receptions.
PICK: Kelce Over 5.5 receptions
Staying on the Texans-Chiefs matchup, let’s talk about running back Joe Mixon. The Chiefs’ defense has been impressive against the run this season, limiting opponents’ rushing attempts. With the Kansas City offense likely scoring, I expect the Texans to stray from the run game.
PICK: Joe Mixon Under 16.5 rushing attempts
Commanders @ Lions (8 p.m., FOX/FOX Sports App)
The Lions are set to put points on the board against the Commanders. With a week off, I expect Detroit’s offensive coordinator, Ben Johnson, to have some creative strategies up his sleeve against Washington’s decent, but vulnerable defense.
If Washington wants to keep pace, it’s crucial for quarterback Jayden Daniels to be both a passer and a runner. The Lions typically face a lot of pass attempts as teams try to catch up. In this scenario, I anticipate Daniels will have to throw a considerable amount and also use his legs to make plays.
PICK: Jayden Daniels Over 34.5 pass attempts
PICK: Jayden Daniels Over 9.5 rushing attempts
Sunday, Jan. 19
Rams @ Eagles (2 p.m., NBC/Peacock)
Both teams come into this game with different energies after their last performances. The Eagles managed to edge out the Packers but had an inconsistent offensive showing. They’ll need to step it up against a Rams team that looked solid defensively in their last game, but struggled in the previous weeks.
However, I believe the Eagles have what it takes to overpower the Rams. Philadelphia boasts the best offensive line in the league, while Los Angeles has a defense that struggles against the run. If the Eagles can capitalize on that, the Rams will find it difficult to keep pace.
PICK: Eagles (-6) to win by more than 6 points
These matchups promise exciting football, and with the playoffs underway, anything can happen!