Predicting who will be the next pope is no easy feat. The papal conclave is full of intrigue, with cardinals changing their votes and strategizing behind the scenes. Just look at 2013—very few saw Jorge Mario Bergoglio becoming Pope Francis. As discussions swirl, here are some key figures speculated to succeed him.
Pietro Parolin (70, Italy)
Pietro Parolin, the Vatican’s secretary of state since 2013, is often viewed as a moderate. He shares a close relationship with Pope Francis and has played a vital role in diplomacy, including dealings with China and Middle Eastern countries. Parolin has his followers, who see him as a peace advocate, while his critics consider him too pragmatic. In 2018, he negotiated a controversial agreement with China about bishop appointments, which some deemed a compromise to the communist regime.
Luis Antonio Tagle (67, Philippines)
Tagle was once seen as a strong contender who might continue Francis’s progressive legacy. As the former archbishop of Manila, an Asian pope would be a historic first. Although he has expressed the need for the church to soften its stance on issues like divorce and same-sex relationships, he has consistently opposed abortion in the Philippines. His recent fluctuating favor suggests he’s not the frontrunner anymore.
Peter Turkson (76, Ghana)
Turkson could make history as the first black pope in centuries. He has been outspoken on poverty and climate change, yet maintains traditional views on marriage and priesthood. Recently, he has softened his stance on homosexuality, arguing against punitive laws in parts of Africa. Turkson’s work in human rights advocacy shows a growing concern for issues well beyond the church.
Péter Erdő (72, Hungary)
A conservative candidate, Erdő represents a significant shift back to traditional values, moving away from Francis’s approach. He is regarded as a learned individual and has been close to some political leaders, which might add complexity to his candidacy. His opposition to Francis’s more open immigration policies raises questions about how he would steer the church.
Matteo Zuppi (69, Italy)
Zuppi, appointed cardinal by Francis in 2019, is on the progressive side and has been involved in peace efforts, especially concerning Ukraine. His liberal views on social issues put him in line with Francis’s legacy, emphasizing care for marginalized groups. His strength lies in his diplomacy, demonstrated by his meetings with key figures in both Russia and Ukraine.
José Tolentino Calaça de Mendonça (59, Portugal)
Younger than many contenders, de Mendonça might be at a disadvantage. He advocates for modern cultural engagement and has taken progressive stances, particularly on same-sex relationships. His close ties with Francis suggest continuity, but his age could deter ambitious cardinals from supporting him fully.
Mario Grech (68, Malta)
Grech has shown a willingness to evolve, highlighting his adaptability. His support for female deacons is notable, breaking with strict traditionalism. He has challenged restrictive immigration policies in Europe as well, illustrating his focus on humanitarian issues.
Pierbattista Pizzaballa (60, Italy)
Pizzaballa serves as the Latin patriarch of Jerusalem and has taken bold stands, including negotiating for hostages in complex conflicts. He may continue Francis’s outreach to support Christians in the Holy Land, but his cautious public stance on divisive issues may limit his appeal.
Robert Sarah (79, Guinea)
A traditionalist, Sarah has often positioned himself as a counterpoint to Francis, particularly on issues like clerical celibacy and gender ideology. His past collaboration with former Pope Benedict raised eyebrows, highlighting the tensions within the church. Like Turkson, he could make historical waves as the first black pope.
In the end, each candidate brings a unique blend of tradition, modernity, and personal conviction. As the church navigates its future, the choice of the next pope will significantly impact its direction. For more insights on the papacy and its influence globally, check reputable sources such as National Catholic Reporter and Vatican News.