In central Germany, discussions around military trust are sparking deep reflection. Brig. Gen. Ralf Hammerstein smiles wryly as he asks, “Do you think you can trust Putin?” It’s a question that many Europeans would quickly answer with a resounding no. This sentiment is gaining momentum as Europe shifts its focus back to its own military strength.
Germany is at the forefront of this change. The country’s military, called the Bundeswehr, has struggled with years of neglect. But this is finally shifting. With the new leadership of presumptive Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Germany is ready to invest in its military at levels not seen since the Cold War.
Recently, Germany amended its constitutional debt rules, paving the way for billions in military funding. Estimates suggest that if Germany commits to spending 3.5% of its GDP on defense over ten years, it could amount to about €600 billion (around $652 billion).
During a NATO training exercise at an undisclosed location, CNN observed these new military ambitions in action. It included a simulation of a foreign attack on a NATO member, spotlighting Germany’s evolving role in global defense. Hammerstein emphasized this shift, stating, “Germany is capable and has to be a partner for other nations.” He noted the country’s responsibility in Europe and pledged to step up military readiness.
The full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 marked a dramatic turnaround in European defense policy. This conflict led to what Germans now refer to as “Zeitenwende,” or “turning point.” It spurred a renaissance in military investment, which had been lagging since the end of the Cold War. Olaf Scholz, the former chancellor, declared a new defense policy and set up a €100 billion fund for military enhancements, despite facing hurdles in its implementation.
Merz is determined to enhance Germany’s military capabilities further. Sudha David-Wilp, a senior fellow at the German Marshall Fund, stresses the urgency of this endeavor. “There’s great power competition now, and military strength is essential in international politics,” she said.
Since the 1960s, Germany’s military spending as a percentage of GDP has plummeted, peaking at 4.9% in 1963 and falling to a low of 1.1% in 2005. It was only in 2024 that Germany finally met NATO’s 2% spending target for the first time in over 30 years.
Hammerstein acknowledges a common sentiment in military history: armies will always feel underfunded. He cites Germany’s reliance on the “peace dividend” of the 1990s as a significant factor in its current military status. He is, however, optimistic that Germany is on the right path to bolster its military readiness and that this effort will be boosted by a renewed commitment to defense spending.
However, challenges remain. A recent report by Eva Högl, the Parliamentary Commissioner for the Armed Forces, pointed out serious shortfalls in recruitment, aging personnel, and inadequate infrastructure. With recruitment targets unmet and an aging force, the report paints a stark picture.
Despite assurances of renewed funding and commitment to reaching military goals, Högl’s findings suggest a considerable journey ahead. Germany’s armed forces currently stand at 181,174 personnel, well below the revised target of 203,000 by 2031.
Hammerstein argues for a reconsideration of military service, suggesting that reintroducing conscription could help increase numbers. The average age of soldiers has also crept up, now resting at over 34 years. This trend reflects a broader issue as many servicemen and women age without enough young recruits coming in.
A crucial part of Högl’s report indicates that around €67 billion is needed for infrastructure improvements, highlighting the dire state of many military facilities. Despite these hurdles, Hammerstein remains hopeful about the foundation Germany has to build on. He believes that current training programs show a well-motivated force eager to improve.
There’s also a change in public perception about the military. A recent ARD survey revealed that 66% of respondents support increasing defense funding. Meanwhile, 59% are open to the idea of the government incurring more debt to address upcoming defense and infrastructure needs. This shift indicates a growing acceptance of a more robust military posture among the German population.
As Merz charts a new course for Germany, he expresses confidence in restoring military strength. “Germany is back,” he proclaimed, emphasizing a significant commitment to European peace and security. The road ahead may be challenging, but both the government and public seem ready to rise to the occasion.