Brigadier General (retired) Amir Avivi, who leads the Israel Defense and Security Forum, believes the US-Israeli campaign against Iran is intensifying. He claims that it’s only a matter of weeks before the current regime in Iran is deemed weak enough for significant change. Avivi predicts a call for the Iranian people to rise against their government, with support from Israeli and American military forces above.
The situation in Iran is being described as evolving through distinct phases. Initial efforts focused on eroding the strength of groups like Hamas and Hezbollah. Now, the attention has shifted to the Iranian regime itself. The goal? Overthrow the Iranian leadership.
Avivi notes that there has been a target-rich campaign against military assets in Iran, including air defense and naval resources. He mentioned ongoing attacks on Basij forces, who are responsible for monitoring Iranian society, and stressed the importance of weakening the regime’s grip on power to spur an uprising.
The economic situation in Iran is dire. As imports and exports dwindle, the currency is collapsing, leading to widespread discontent. Avivi cited alarming defect rates within security forces, with some units seeing as much as 90% defection.
In recent discussions, Avivi dismissed the idea that figures like Ali Larijani—a prominent politician—could serve as moderate leaders. He argues that Iran needs a complete change in leadership, moving towards a more open society. The role of external forces, he suggests, is to create conditions favorable for this internal change.
Investigative journalist David Patrikarakos echoes Avivi’s sentiments, noting that while the regime shows signs of pressure, internal fractures are not widespread yet. He emphasized that while there have been reports of attempts to defect and disobey orders, the situation remains fragile.
The next step for the US may involve ensuring Iran doesn’t rebuild its nuclear capabilities. Concerns center on hidden stockpiles of enriched uranium, prompting Speculation about potential military operations to secure these sites. However, there remains uncertainty about what will happen after any military action.
Despite the challenges, Avivi remains optimistic, stating, “I foresee a change of regime.” Ultimately, he believes the broader aim is to reshape Middle Eastern dynamics for future generations.
For further reading on the complexities of US-Iran relations, refer to the Council on Foreign Relations.
Source link
Iran news, Iran politics, Iran economy, Iran government, Iran nuclear, Iran Covid, Iran media. Iran and the United States, Iran-US, US sanctions, Iran, Middle East, Iran and China
