Tasmania has long claimed to be a leader in climate action, declaring it achieved zero emissions status in 2014. But recent reviews suggest that this claim might not hold up. A new report reveals that Tasmania’s reliance on forestry and land management practices to offset emissions poses a significant risk to its net zero status.
Every four years, an independent review assesses the Climate Change (State Action) Act 2008. The latest report highlights that while the act is fulfilling its necessary functions, Tasmania isn’t reducing emissions across various sectors. Instead, it’s leaning heavily on carbon sequestration from its forests to maintain its zero emissions claim.
This reliance on land management means the state’s net zero status could be temporary. In real terms, greenhouse gas emissions in Tasmania have actually increased since 1990. Agriculture, a critical part of Tasmania’s economy, has seen emissions climb by 16% from 2019 to 2023. This trend underscores that the state’s agricultural emissions are notably higher per person than in other regions.
Experts warn that if the land management sector falters due to climate change impacts, Tasmania’s zero emissions claim could vanish. Progress in other sectors, like transport and agriculture, remains slow because of barriers such as technology and regulation.
Stakeholder confidence in the Tasmanian government’s climate action is reportedly low. The review points out a lack of clear responsibilities, measurable objectives, and transparency in the state’s climate initiatives. Many feel that the government’s approach amounts to “business as usual” instead of pushing for meaningful change.
The report suggests seven key recommendations, like setting up an independent body to oversee actions and creating clear accountability measures. Environment Minister Madeleine Ogilvie acknowledged these suggestions and stated that the government would enhance its climate change actions within current policy frameworks.
However, experts like Clare Smith from the Tasmanian Climate Collective are skeptical of the government’s response. They emphasize the need for a dedicated body to oversee adaptation and mitigation efforts, away from political pressures.
The review’s recommendations have sparked mixed reactions. While some advocate for clear emissions targets for each sector, others call for a more stringent oversight mechanism to ensure the state stays on track.
In summary, while Tasmania has positioned itself as a climate leader, the reality is more complicated. Without significant changes in governance and real reductions in emissions, its net zero status hangs in the balance. Keeping an eye on these developments will be crucial as the next review is scheduled for 2028.
For more detailed information, check the Climate Change Activity Statement 2025.
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environment, climate change review report, climate change act, forestry, native forest, emission reductions
