In June 2025, consumer prices saw a small bump, increasing by 0.3%. This rise put the yearly inflation rate at 2.7%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Interestingly, this was in line with market expectations. If you take out food and energy costs, core inflation rose slightly more, at 0.2%, bringing the annual rate to 2.9%.
Earlier this year, inflation was higher. In January, it reached 3%. Despite worries about President Trump’s tariffs pushing prices up, inflation had actually been trending down until now. There were hints that the tariffs might be starting to affect prices. For example, new vehicle prices dropped by 0.3%, while used cars fell by 0.7%. On the flip side, clothing prices tied to tariffs rose by 0.4%. Home goods also went up by 1%.
Housing costs, which are significant contributors to the overall inflation number, rose only 0.2% in June but had a yearly jump of 3.8%. While rents saw a slight increase, hotel prices dropped by 2.9%.
Food prices rose by 0.3% this month, translating to a yearly increase of 3%. Energy prices, however, bounced back by 0.9% but were still down compared to last year. Medical care services also climbed by 0.6%.
Despite these rising costs, real hourly earnings (after adjusting for inflation) fell by 0.1% in June, although they were up 1% from a year ago. The markets reacted cautiously to the inflation news, with mixed results in stock indexes.
Trump has been pushing the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, claiming that tariffs aren’t to blame for inflation. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his team have chosen not to act hastily, believing the economy is strong enough to withstand current pressures.
Historically, inflation rates have fluctuated based on many factors, including government policy and global events. Keeping an eye on how tariffs and economic measures play out could provide insights into future trends. Recent surveys also suggest that many consumers are feeling the pinch of rising prices, which adds to the debate on how the Fed should respond.
Overall, while June’s inflation numbers show a slight rise, the broader picture remains mixed. As consumers adjust to price changes, it will be vital to monitor what happens next, especially with the Fed’s upcoming meetings and economic forecasts.
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