The Missouri Tigers are set to clash with the Miami Hurricanes in the first round of the NCAA Tournament tonight. Both teams struggle with defense, especially against three-point shots. This presents an opportunity for Trent Pierce, one of Missouri’s standout shooters.
Missouri vs. Miami: The Breakdown
When looking at both teams, they share similar features. Miami has a better turnover rate and rebounding stats, but Missouri has the edge in game location, being closer to home.
Top Prediction: Trent Pierce’s Three-Point Success
Miami ranks low nationally for defending the three-point line, placing 324th in opponent three-point percentage (37.4%) since the start of the year. This is a crucial point for Missouri’s game plan, highlighting Trent Pierce as a key player. Standing at 6-foot-10, Pierce is known for his shooting prowess. Although he struggled in a recent game against Kentucky, he’s hit over 1.5 three-pointers in six previous games, averaging 2.5 threes at 42.9% accuracy.
Miami’s defensive strategy leaves them vulnerable to three-point shooters. In fact, they are 292nd in allowing three-point attempts over the last month.
Another Key Player: Mark Mitchell
Mitchell’s role is vital. He not only scores but also assists, averaging 4.1 assists per game recently. He draws defenders, creating open shots for his teammates, including Pierce. Their combined skills could lead Missouri to exceed their team total against Miami.
Betting Trends and Insights
Betting trends show Miami has hit the Over in 16 of their last 25 games, highlighting a consistent pattern in high-scoring contests. Missouri’s defensive stats also indicate they’re not great at stopping the long-range shot, sitting outside the top 300 nationally in defending three-point attempts.
Viewing the Game
- Location: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, MO
- Date: March 20, 2026
- Time: 10:10 PM ET
- TV: truTV
With both teams grappling defensively, expect an exciting matchup. As trends suggest, scoring could be high. Keep an eye on those sharpshooters, as they could tilt the game in either direction.

