Marvel’s “Thunderbolts” had a solid start over the weekend, raking in $31.5 million from Friday and preview screenings across 4,330 theaters. Analysts expect it will eventually hit a domestic opening between $70 million and $75 million. Despite its underwhelming performance compared to past Marvel hits, it marks the launch of what could be a new franchise featuring lesser-known heroes.
Interestingly, Marvel’s box office draw seems to be fading. If current trends hold, “Thunderbolts” may record one of the lower openings in the Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU). For context, "Black Widow" opened at $80 million, while "Guardians of the Galaxy" grossed $94 million in its debut—two films that featured more recognizable characters.
In comparison to recent releases, “Thunderbolts” is lagging behind “Captain America: Brave New World,” which earned $40.9 million on its opening day earlier this year. Though “Brave New World” faced poor reviews, it had stronger brand recognition. Ultimately, it managed to gather only $200 million over its run, demonstrating the risks Marvel faces.
However, there’s hope for “Thunderbolts.” The film has received positive reviews, with audience polling firm Cinema Score giving it an “A-.” This contrasts sharply with the “B-” earned by “Brave New World.” At a hefty production cost of $180 million, plus another $100 million for marketing, “Thunderbolts” needs to connect with audiences globally and maintain strong ticket sales to be profitable.
Alongside stars Florence Pugh and David Harbour, the cast includes familiar faces like Sebastian Stan and Julia Louis-Dreyfus, while Jake Schreier directs this ensemble.
In second place for the weekend, “Sinners” impressed with a $9.5 million Friday haul, a decrease of only 27% from the previous week. Despite losing premium ticket sales to “Thunderbolts,” it is projected to be resilient, aiming for $200 million in North America shortly.
Warner Bros.’ “A Minecraft Movie” continues to draw crowds, earning $3.1 million on Friday. The film is approaching a total gross of $400 million domestically and has made headlines with its interactive “Block Party Edition” screenings.
In fourth place, “The Accountant 2” brought in $2.6 million on Friday, showing a steep drop of 60% from its opening weekend. Given Amazon’s diverse business interests, it may not be overly concerned about theatrical numbers.
Lastly, Sony’s horror film “Until Dawn” earned $1.1 million on Friday and is set for a second weekend total of around $3.6 million—a drop of 55% from its debut.
New releases this weekend included Nicolas Cage’s “The Surfer,” which premiered in 884 theaters but garnered just $320,000 on Friday—suggesting a tough climb to crack the top 10.
Additional Insights:
Expert opinions suggest that while large franchise films have been historically successful, audiences are now becoming more selective. Social media trends indicate a shift toward unique narratives and character-driven stories rather than typical franchise entries. Recent surveys reveal that 65% of moviegoers are looking for fresh experiences rather than sequels or reboots, emphasizing the need for studios to adapt.
As the landscape evolves, it’s clear that the competition is heating up, and even established brands need to innovate to keep audiences engaged.
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