It’s Selection Sunday, and excitement fills the air with College Basketball Conference Tournament games happening. Let’s look closely at two key matchups and see where the smart money is going, using updated insights from VSiN CBB Betting Splits directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
First up is the Atlantic 10 Tournament championship. Dayton, the 4-seed, recently pulled off a close win against Saint Louis, finishing 70-69 as 4.5-point underdogs. The 2-seed, VCU, convincingly defeated Saint Joseph’s, winning 77-64 and covering as 6.5-point favorites.
The initial line favored VCU by 2.5 points, but a surge of bets has pushed that to 3.5. At DraftKings, VCU is attracting 67% of spread bets and an impressive 75% of spread dollars. This tells us that both casual and sharp bettors are backing VCU heavily.
Using data from Ken Pom, VCU is expected to win by four points (75-71). They have a stronger ranking overall (46th compared to Dayton’s 77th). For added protection against a close finish, some bettors might consider the VCU moneyline at -170, which is also drawing 75% of bets at both DraftKings and Circa.
Statistically, VCU excels in several areas: their offensive efficiency (ranked 46th), effective field goal percentage (63rd), and three-point shooting (41st) outshine Dayton’s stats. Additionally, VCU handles the ball better, committing fewer turnovers (92nd vs 227th) and they also defend well, limiting opponents’ shooting (62nd vs 153rd).
Now, let’s move to the SEC Tournament championship. Vanderbilt, the 4-seed, made headlines by defeating Florida 91-74 as 7.5-point underdogs. Arkansas, the 3-seed, narrowly squeezed past Ole Miss in a thrilling overtime game, winning 93-90 but failing to cover the spread at 8.5-point favorites.
This matchup opened with Vanderbilt favored by 2.5 points, but now they’ve slipped to just -1.5. Even though the bets on the spread are about 50/50, the line movement suggests that sharper money is leaning toward Arkansas. The notable change hints that bigger bets favor the Razorbacks, who are also attracting significant attention on the moneyline at +110.
According to DraftKings, Arkansas is pulling in 59% of moneyline bets and an impressive 71% of the total money. Circa is seeing even more action, with 60% of bets and a striking 90% of the money backing Arkansas for the upset.
Stats show that Arkansas boasts a better effective field goal percentage (23rd) and fewer turnovers (1st) compared to Vanderbilt (30th and 14th respectively). Their solid three-point shooting skills (ranked 18th) also give them an edge in this tight battle.
Both games showcase how vital statistics and betting trends are when making informed decisions. With sharp money shifting toward certain teams, it’s essential to keep an eye on these insights as the tournament unfolds.
Source link
Arkansas,Dayton,Featured,vanderbilt,vcu
