THE HAGUE, Netherlands — U.S. President Donald Trump and NATO leaders are meeting for a summit that may either bring them together on defense spending or deepen existing divides among the 32 member countries.
Just a week prior, there was optimism. NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte believed that European nations and Canada would finally agree to invest at least as much as the U.S. does on defense. However, Spain dismissed the new NATO target of spending 5% of its GDP on defense, calling it “unreasonable.” Trump also insisted on that figure, but NATO operates on consensus, meaning all members need to agree.
After Spain’s rejection, Trump remarked, “I don’t think we should respect the goal, but they should.” He criticized Spain and Canada for their low defense budgets—Spain spent less than 2% of its GDP last year, and Canada only 1.45%.
The tensions evoke historical parallels. In 2003, the U.S.-led war on Iraq split NATO when France and Germany opposed the action while Britain and Spain supported it. Now, members fear a repeat of those fractures, especially as issues like Ukraine loom large on the agenda.
NATO’s Purpose and Growth
This two-day summit underscores the enduring nature of NATO, which originated in 1949 as a response to the Soviet threat. Since then, it has grown to 32 nations, with Sweden joining recently amid Russian aggression. Central to NATO’s operation is Article 5, which guarantees collective defense—an assurance that all members will defend any country under attack.
Despite Trump’s wavering commitment, he has claimed the U.S. will remain a NATO member. The U.S. is the military powerhouse of the alliance, investing far more in defense than any other member. Under Trump, however, the U.S. has taken a step back from its leadership role.
Ukraine’s Importance in Discussions
Amid discussions of defense spending, Ukraine’s situation might take center stage. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has been invited, though it’s unclear what role he will play. NATO itself does not arm Ukraine, but individual member countries provide military support. Notably, European allies contributed 60% of the military aid Ukraine received in 2024.
NATO’s Strategic Plans
To deter threats from Russia and others, NATO aims to deploy 300,000 troops within 30 days of an attack. However, experts question whether this goal is achievable. They argue it’s not just about numbers; the belief that NATO can and will act could deter aggression.
Interestingly, after years of budget cuts, NATO members began increasing defense spending in 2014 following Russia’s annexation of Crimea. By 2022, NATO allies committed to 2% of their GDP as a minimum spending level. In the Hague, discussions may lead to a new target of 3.5%, plus an additional 1.5% for infrastructure improvements.
Overall, while some allies are ramping up their military budgets, much uncertainty remains as leaders come together to address these critical issues.
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