New Poll Reveals Europe’s Anxiety vs. Global Optimism on Trump 2.0: Is the EU Gaining Ground Against the US and China for Future Power?

Donald Trump’s return to the White House is stirring up mixed feelings around the world. While some see this as a positive move for peace and U.S. influence, many of America’s allies, especially from the UK, the EU, and South Korea, are not so sure. This is highlighted in a recent poll by the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) and Oxford University, which surveyed people from 24 countries.

The report titled “Alone in a Trumpian world” shows that attitudes toward U.S. power are changing. Many no longer view the U.S. as a defender of global democratic values. Instead of “Making America Great Again,” the belief is growing that China might take on the role of the world’s leading superpower.

Here are some key takeaways from the survey:

• Many people in countries like India and Brazil feel Trump’s presidency will help bring about peace globally, as well as benefit their own nations and the U.S.
• Trump’s promises to act as a peacemaker in regions like Ukraine and the Middle East resonate, particularly in India and Saudi Arabia. However, Ukrainians are unsure about the effectiveness of Trump’s approach.
• Allies in Europe and South Korea are skeptical. Few believe that Trump’s return will lead to solutions for conflicts in Ukraine or the Middle East.
• While there’s a general belief that the U.S. will have more influence in the next decade, most people don’t think it will regain its previous dominance. Many expect China to rise as the stronger global force.
• The survey categorizes opinions on Trump into five groups, from those who welcome him to those who are concerned about his impact on peace and democracy.
• Despite concerns about Trump, there’s a growing recognition of the EU’s potential influence and importance on the global stage. Many view the EU as a strong ally, particularly in Ukraine and South Korea.

The authors of the report suggest that European leaders may face difficulties in unifying resistance against Trump. The strong alignment seen during the Biden administration might fracture as the political landscape shifts. However, the EU has opportunities to build stronger internal and external relationships, especially with emerging powers like Brazil and India.

For Europe, the focus should shift from merely resisting to building alliances and emphasizing its own values and strengths. This can be a path for a more unified and influential EU in the years ahead.

For more information on the survey and its findings, visit: ECFR.