Norway Prepares for Trump’s Reaction: What Happens if He Misses Out on the Nobel Peace Prize?

As anticipation builds for the announcement of this year’s Nobel Peace Prize, discussions around Donald Trump’s potential candidacy have intensified, especially in Norway. With the decision nearing, there’s a sense of unease about what might happen if he’s not selected.

The Norwegian Nobel Committee has confirmed that it made its choice last Monday, before a recent ceasefire between Israel and Hamas. Observers and experts suggest that it’s unlikely Trump will receive the prize. This has sparked concerns among Norwegian politicians about how he might react to being passed over.

Kirsti Bergstø, leader of Norway’s Socialist Left party, expressed that the situation is unpredictable. She pointed out that Trump has taken extreme stances and behaved in a way that might prompt reactions not typically expected from political leaders. “We have to be prepared for anything,” she stated, reflecting the sentiment among many who feel apprehensive about Trump’s potential backlash.

Trump has long claimed he deserves the Nobel Peace Prize, often citing his efforts in diplomacy and conflict resolution. For context, former President Barack Obama received the prize in 2009 for his initiatives to enhance international cooperation. Recently, Trump noted during a UN address that people were saying he should win the prize for stopping several “unendable wars.”

Arild Hermstad, leader of Norway’s Green Party, emphasized the importance of the committee’s independence in upholding the credibility of the peace prize. He remarked that true peace efforts require consistent commitment rather than outbursts on social media. “One late contribution does not erase years of enabling violence and division,” he said, acknowledging Trump’s support for the recent ceasefire but questioning its sufficient impact.

Kristian Berg Harpviken, director of the Norwegian Nobel Institute, shared insights on the committee’s impartial decision-making process. Despite being appointed by the Norwegian parliament, he insisted that the committee operates independently, a fact that may be lost on those unfamiliar with its workings.

Looking at public reactions, there’s a blend of skepticism and curiosity about the possible outcomes of this year’s prize. Analysts like Harald Stanghelle speculate that if overlooked, Trump could respond with economic measures or diplomatic pressure. Nina Græger from the Peace Research Institute Oslo has proposed other candidates deserving of the award, such as the Committee to Protect Journalists and the Women’s International League for Peace and Freedom. She emphasized the need for tangible outcomes rather than momentary diplomatic gestures when it comes to peacekeeping.

In 2023, surveys reveal mixed opinions about the Nobel Prize’s relevance in today’s geopolitical landscape, with some voters prioritizing environmental initiatives over traditional peace efforts. This reflects a wider trend, as priorities shift towards pressing global issues like climate change and social justice.

As the countdown continues, the eyes of Norway—and the world—are watching closely to see how this year’s award will play out. Whether or not Trump receives recognition, the implications for U.S.-Norway relations could be significant, reshaping the diplomatic landscape in unpredictable ways.



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