Playoff Pulse Check: Key Insights on Jets’ Defense, Kings’ Third Period Dominance, and Landeskog’s Unexpected Performance

Two key things are happening with the Winnipeg Jets: their goaltender needs more defensive help, and Connor Hellebuyck should step up. Hellebuyck has had solid regular seasons, but his playoff performance has been questionable. This narrative is back in the spotlight after four games against the St. Louis Blues.

Recently, he struggled. In one game, he let in five goals on just 18 shots. When looking closely, he allowed 3.12 goals more than expected, resulting in a negative GSAx (goals saved above expected) of -7.23 in the series. If this trend continues, it could mark three consecutive postseasons where he’s underperformed. Over his last three playoffs, he’s let in 15.2 goals above expected in just 14 games, the worst in the league during that time. His last notable playoff performance was in 2021, where he saved nearly nine goals above expected. It’s crucial to note that the Jets’ defense also plays a big role in Hellebuyck’s performance.

This season, the Jets were defensively strong, but the Blues have posed serious challenges. They are creating screens and traffic in front of Hellebuyck, often leaving him with limited sightlines for saves. Furthermore, when he does see the puck clearly, sometimes the defense around him isn’t sufficient. For instance, Robert Thomas scored easily, skating past multiple Jets defenders to find high-danger areas.

While home ice advantage may help in Game 5, it isn’t a guaranteed fix. The defensive strategy needs to improve significantly, as Hellebuyck isn’t playing at his usual elite level.

Jake Guentzel: A Playoff Star

Jake Guentzel has a knack for making a difference in the playoffs. His rookie season saw him score 13 goals and 21 points, helping his team win the Stanley Cup. Fast forward to now, Guentzel continues to shine when the stakes are high.

In recent games, he scored in Game 1, went quiet in Game 2, but then bounced back with a three-point performance in Game 3. His contributions are vital for the Lightning, especially since they have faced early playoff exits in recent seasons. His scoring ability during postseason games has been remarkable—his performance puts him among the top scorers since his debut.

Gabriel Landeskog’s Impact

After nearly three years out of play, Gabriel Landeskog returned to the NHL and immediately made an impact. His performance has been better than expected given the lengthy absence. In his first game back, during limited minutes, the Avalanche dominated with him on the ice.

Coaches moved him to a power-play unit where he could be more effective. His presence revitalized the second line, helping the team generate more scoring opportunities and overcome Dallas in a recent game. Continued success from Landeskog could provide a significant edge for the Avalanche in tight matchups.

Toronto’s Power Play Success

The Maple Leafs’ power play has surprised fans this postseason. Despite past struggles, they have found success with a five-forward unit featuring top players like Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner. Their recent performance highlights how well they’ve clicked, converting on six opportunities in the early playoff games.

A five-forward power play approach may not suit every team, but for Toronto, it has proven effective and helps keep their playoff hopes alive.

Challenges for the Devils

The New Jersey Devils, once strong on the power play, have faced setbacks against Carolina, showing the challenges teams encounter in high-pressure scenarios. Remarkably, they are the only team without a power-play goal this postseason. Compounding this issue, they must improve their five-on-five gameplay to stay competitive.

Joel Eriksson Ek: An Unsung Hero

In Minnesota, the return of Joel Eriksson Ek has been crucial. Known for both his defensive and offensive skills, he’s made it difficult for opponents to score. His presence has helped Minnesota maintain control over games, showcasing how important he is to their strategy.

Kings’ Late Game Woes

The LA Kings have experienced difficulties in third periods. A recent pattern of playing too conservatively has almost cost them games. They must learn to balance defending and attacking, especially against high-octane teams like the Oilers, to secure victories.

This blend of narratives highlights the tight competition within the NHL and the varying factors that contribute to each team’s success or failure during the playoffs.

Data Credits:

• Evolving Hockey
• Hockey Viz
• Hockey Stat Cards
• Natural Stat Trick

Image credit: Perry Nelson / Imagn Images

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