The National Meteorological Service (SMN) has released a forecast that spells out concerns for the upcoming summer. It suggests we’ll face a hotter season with less rainfall.
According to their report, much of the country can expect higher temperatures and reduced precipitation during November, December, and January. This scenario could impact various areas, from tourism to public health.
Areas like the northeast, the Pampas, and western Patagonia are likely to see the majority of below-average rainfall. Meteorologist Cindy Fernández states, “The forecast indicates that these regions will probably experience below-normal precipitation.” Interestingly, the northwest of Argentina (NOA) is an exception, with signs of above-average rain. Cuyo and parts of Patagonia are expected to maintain usual records.
However, the SMN warns that we can’t rule out intense localized weather events in central and northeastern Argentina at the start of the forecast period.
Looking at temperature trends, the forecast predicts that many areas will have normal to above-normal temperatures. In fact, there’s a 50% chance that provinces like Buenos Aires, Mesopotamia, and northeast Argentina will see higher-than-usual temperatures. Fernández comments that, overall, temperatures are expected to surpass the norm, except in the northwest and southern Patagonia, where conditions will remain average.
After a brief cooling spell in late October, temperatures are expected to climb again, reflecting a recurring warm trend.
On the Atlantic coast, predictions indicate less rain than typically expected. This might actually help reduce mosquito breeding grounds, which is significant considering the risks associated with dengue fever. Some resorts in Buenos Aires may also experience warmer days, benefiting tourism due to fewer rainy days.
Interestingly, although the Pampas region is currently dealing with excess water, there are already concerns that rain may dwindle in the months to come. This situation puts agriculture at risk as cultivated lands could suffer from a lack of moisture.
The SMN encourages everyone to stay updated with daily and weekly forecasts and to use their early warning system. Because of unpredictable and severe weather events, regular tracking is crucial.
Recent research highlights that extreme heat waves have increased significantly, becoming more frequent and intense over the past few decades. According to a study by the World Meteorological Organization, the global average temperature has risen by about 1.2°C since the pre-industrial era. Climate experts stress the importance of adapting to these changing conditions, emphasizing that our communities need to become more resilient to heat extremes and less predictable weather patterns.
Source link
drought,heat,heatwave,idk,National Weather Service,rain,summer
