Allies of the Prime Minister are asserting that he will resist any leadership challenges from Labour MPs. There is rising concern among supporters of Sir Keir Starmer that his leadership could be at risk soon, potentially right after the upcoming Budget. Critics argue this turmoil shows that Downing Street is retreating into defensive posture, which won’t help them escape their current troubles.
Supporters of Sir Keir are anxious about discussions among Labour MPs regarding potential replacements, including prominent figures like Health Secretary Wes Streeting and Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood. Even Ed Miliband, the Energy Secretary, and backbenchers like former Transport Secretary Louise Haigh are mentioned as possible contenders. A minister pointed out the past disappointments Labour faced in elections, saying, “This is not a Hartlepool moment,” referring to a previous loss that made Sir Keir consider resigning. The minister emphasized that Sir Keir has significant experience, being one of the few who has led Labour to victory in the past.
The Labour Party is bracing for critical elections in Scotland, Wales, and various local areas in England next May. Many predict a poor performance for Labour, raising fears that the party cannot wait until these elections to ponder a leadership change.
One senior Labour MP commented, “It’s risky to wait. We can’t afford to lose our local councillors.” Another source expressed urgency, mentioning that reasons for a leadership shift seem to increase daily, hinting that if Streeting acts decisively, he could be Prime Minister by Christmas.
There’s a growing suspicion about Streeting’s ambitions, with a spokesman insisting he remains focused on improving the NHS, not on leadership scheming. Meanwhile, a government source remarked that Downing Street’s current state might be creating unnecessary drama that could destabilize the party further, likening the situation to a “circular firing squad.”
Supporters of the Prime Minister have cautioned Labour MPs about the dangers a leadership race could bring, comparing it to the chaotic final years of Conservative leadership before the last election. They argue this could install a leader without a clear mandate, affecting international relationships and market stability. However, some ministers see the dire situation as unsustainable, claiming Starmer’s popularity has plummeted.
Recent polls indicate Sir Keir Starmer may be the most unpopular Prime Minister in recent history, with Labour struggling to gain support from over 20% of voters. This growing dissent within Labour highlights fears that a leadership change might disrupt the party’s chances moving forward as they face competition from parties like Reform UK, which some see as a significant threat.
As Labour assesses its future, questions loom about its stability amid rising expectations for decisive leadership in a time of uncertainty. How they choose to navigate these challenges could shape the political landscape for years to come.
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