Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton announced that he will run against U.S. Senator John Cornyn in the next midterm elections. This clash is set to be a high-stakes Republican primary that could impact both state and national politics.

Paxton has hinted at his candidacy for months. He sees himself as a representative of the hardline conservative wing of the Texas GOP, while Cornyn is aligned with a more traditional Republican stance. Paxton stated on Fox News that Texas needs a senator who will "fight for Republican values" and support Trump more fiercely.
This election could be a significant moment for the Texas GOP. If Paxton, who recently faced impeachment and legal battles, beats Cornyn, it might forever change the party’s dynamics in Texas. Cornyn has been a steadfast figure in Texas politics, trying to navigate an increasingly polarized Republican landscape.
As Paxton kicks off his campaign, he positions himself as the outsider. He vows to challenge the Washington establishment, calling for voters to "send John Cornyn packing." On the other hand, Cornyn has historically fended off challenges, but he now encounters growing criticism for his support of military aid to Ukraine and his cautious stance regarding Trump’s electability.
In the wake of Paxton’s announcement, Cornyn’s team responded sharply, labeling him a "fraud" and emphasizing the need for a seasoned conservative who can stand up against Democratic opposition.
One question looms large: Will Trump back either candidate? His endorsements in Texas have greatly influenced Republican primaries. Paxton has a long history of support from Trump, including during his unsuccessful legal efforts to contest the 2020 election results. Trump even defended Paxton during his recent impeachment trial.
Paxton’s legal troubles have not been minor. He faced felony securities fraud charges that were recently dropped after he completed community service. Additionally, he dealt with corruption allegations linked to his relationships with a wealthy real estate investor. Notably, a district court recently ruled in favor of former aides who claimed they were terminated for reporting Paxton’s misconduct, awarding them $6.6 million.
Recent polling showcases a tight race. A January survey from the University of Houston revealed that 36% of Republican primary voters would likely support Paxton, while 32% favored Cornyn. However, a larger portion indicated they would "never" cast a ballot for Paxton compared to Cornyn.
In a separate February poll by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas, 62% of conservative voters approved of Paxton, compared to 45% for Cornyn—an indicator of Paxton’s standing within the party.
As the campaign unfolds, both candidates face the challenge of addressing their pasts while attempting to resonate with a Republican base that is increasingly discerning. The outcome could reshape Texas politics for years to come.
For further details, you can refer to the University of Houston poll and the Texas Politics Project for insights into voter sentiments.
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