The Colorado River faces serious challenges that could impact the water supply for around 40 million people in the U.S. and Mexico. Despite this looming crisis, population growth continues. More homes are being built, and commitments are being made, often ignoring the very real risks of water shortages.
This situation mirrors the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI). Experts warn there’s a significant chance—up to 25%—that AI could lead to severe issues. Yet, despite these warnings, investment and innovation move forward without a pause.
Water management in the West shows the same trend. The Colorado River is oversubscribed; there’s simply not enough water to meet all the demands. With climate change making droughts more common and reducing water flows, the future looks dire. Lakes Powell and Mead are likely not to refill, with projections suggesting that by 2026, we may face critical challenges, such as losing hydropower capabilities that are vital for states like Arizona.
Adding to this, the demand for water is increasing. The rise in AI usage means more data centers, which require significant water for cooling. In fact, by 2035, these centers could need tens of thousands of acre-feet of water, further straining the Colorado River.
New housing developments continue to spring up as if water supplies are guaranteed. Conversations about conservation are happening, but actual limits to growth remain unaddressed. Historian Jared Diamond’s book, Collapse, emphasizes that societies fail not because they are unaware of risks, but because they ignore them in favor of short-term growth.
We understand the threats to water supply and climate. A moratorium on new developments tied to the Colorado River isn’t radical; it’s necessary. It’s similar to calls for a pause in AI development until we can ensure safe and sustainable practices.
This focus isn’t about resisting progress; it’s about ensuring our survival. Ignoring the laws of physics won’t help create more water. We can’t keep pretending that we have control over these vital resources.
In navigating this complex situation, it’s crucial to take a step back. By prioritizing long-term sustainability over immediate gains, we can build a more resilient future.
For more insights on this issue, you can refer to the recent report from the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation.
