ISTANBUL (AP) — A recent Israeli airstrike on a Hamas meeting in Qatar has raised alarms in Turkey about potential threats to its own security. Turkish Defense Ministry spokesman Rear Adm. Zeki Akturk expressed concerns that Israel might continue its aggressive actions in the region, which could lead to widespread disaster.
Once allies, Israel and Turkey’s relationship has soured significantly since the late 2000s. The situation worsened after the October 7 attacks by Hamas in southern Israel, which reignited tensions over the ongoing Gaza war. Turkey has been critical of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, accusing him of genocide and drawing historical comparisons to Hitler. These accusations have been part of Turkey’s long-standing support for the Palestinian cause.
Hamas leaders frequently visit Turkey and some even reside there. Israel has previously claimed that Turkey has been a base for Hamas operations, including planning and recruitment.
As President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan prepares for an Arab summit in Qatar, Turkey is on high alert. Israel’s capability to strike neighboring countries without facing major repercussions poses a significant worry. In the words of Serhat Suha Cubukcuoglu from Trends Research and Advisory, Israel’s ease in conducting these strikes raises fears in Ankara about a broader strategy involving the destabilization of surrounding states.
Turkey’s Military Strength
Turkey’s military is one of the most powerful within NATO, second only to the U.S. Its advanced defense technology includes the new “Steel Dome” air defense system. This contrasts sharply with Qatar, illustrating that Turkey may have stronger deterrents against potential Israeli strikes. Increased missile production is part of Turkey’s efforts to bolster its defenses, especially after recent attacks in the region.
Ozgur Unluhisarcikli from the German Marshall Fund noted that while a direct attack on Turkey by Israel is unlikely, covert operations targeting Hamas could occur. The strike in Qatar may solidify Turkish support for Hamas, as abandoning the group might weaken Turkey’s influence in the region.
Potential Conflicts in Syria
Beyond Gaza, tensions could escalate in Syria, where Turkey and Israel may find themselves on a collision course. Since rebels overthrew Bashar Assad in December 2022, Turkey has been trying to extend its military influence, supporting an interim government that Israel regards with suspicion. Israel has aggressively targeted Syrian military installations, increasing the risk of direct confrontation with Turkish forces.
The Mediterranean region could also see heightened tensions, as Israel might strengthen ties with Greece and Greek Cypriots to counter Turkish military operations.
Balancing Deterrence and Diplomacy
Turkey appears to be navigating a path of both military preparedness and diplomacy to avoid conflicts with Israel. Recent discussions between Turkish and Israeli officials focused on establishing a de-escalation mechanism in Syria. This indicates Turkey’s intent to maintain a careful balance in the tumultuous geopolitical climate.
While Erdoğan might rely on U.S. support to deter Israeli actions, the unexpected attack in Qatar shows that even strong relations with Washington may not shield Turkey from Israeli operations. As Unluhisarcikli stated, the incident demonstrated that Israel’s military actions could know no bounds.
In wrapping up, Turkey is in a complicated position. As tensions rise in the region, it must balance its military capabilities with diplomatic approaches to maintain its influence and protect its interests. Without careful management, the situation could quickly spiral into broader conflict.
For ongoing coverage of the Israel-Hamas war, visit AP News.
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