Jacksonville Jaguars (12-4)
How could these teams match up?
The Chargers have a 14% chance of facing the Jaguars in a playoff matchup. This could end up being a No. 3 vs. No. 6 game. For that to happen, the Chargers need to lose in Week 18 while the Jaguars and Bills win, along with the Patriots losing. If these scenarios unfold, the Chargers would head to Jacksonville, a place they’ve struggled against this season.
How did the Jaguars get here?
Jacksonville has turned its season around with a hot streak. After starting at 5-4, they’ve now won seven in a row, putting them on the edge of clinching their first division title since 2022 under Head Coach Liam Coen.
During this streak, they’ve excelled on both offense and defense. They rank second in the NFL with a total of 228 points scored and share the lead for the most offensive touchdowns at 27. Remarkably, their defense allows the fewest expected points added (EPA) per play in the league.
Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has been vital to this success, throwing for 3,752 yards and setting a personal best with nine rushing touchdowns in 2025. This season, he’s shined even brighter after the team traded for wide receiver Jakobi Meyers. Since Meyers joined in Week 10, Lawrence leads the league with 17 completed passes of 20 yards or more and has thrown 17 touchdowns over the last seven games.
Before Meyers’ arrival, Lawrence had just nine touchdowns in the first nine games. His average depth of target has also jumped to 10.4, placing him among the top quarterbacks in the league.
As the Jaguars approach the playoffs, this transformation shows the remarkable resilience of a team that has fought hard to reclaim its winning ways.
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