Donald Trump is a figure that invites a lot of discussion. His speaking style is bold, and he isn’t afraid to voice his opinions. Coming from a real estate background, he brings a unique approach to leadership. Many see him as a champion of the everyday person, standing against a political elite that seems out of touch.
Trump’s “America First” policy shapes his view on international relations. During his first term as President, he challenged multilateral agreements and preferred one-on-one deals. For instance, he withdrew from the Paris Climate Agreement and rejected the Trans-Pacific Partnership. He often criticizes international organizations like the United Nations, believing they benefit other nations more than the U.S.
His style combines a strong personal brand with a focus on practical outcomes. He believes in making bold moves rather than following traditional strategies. His policies might lead to more protectionism and trade wars, especially with China, which he sees as a key rival. This could disrupt global markets and lead to a more unstable international landscape, affecting both developed and developing nations.
Under Trump’s influence, American isolationism could rise. This might empower countries like China and Russia, encouraging them to expand their influence globally. Such changes could shift power dynamics and lead to unexpected challenges beyond U.S. borders.
Looking at U.S.-India relations, a second Trump term could lead to a complicated partnership. Historically, India and the U.S. have developed a close relationship, and that may continue, especially given the friendship between Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi. India views the U.S. as a crucial ally in countering China’s aggressive actions.
Defense cooperation and technology partnerships are likely to grow. However, trade tensions could pose challenges. India seeks to maintain its autonomy while balancing relations with the U.S. and other regional players, especially in the Indo-Pacific region, which is vital for global stability.
India has its priorities, including border security, military modernization, and counterterrorism. Economic growth is also essential, and India aims to secure energy resources while building strong ties with key nations. Its partnerships with countries like Japan and Australia, as well as with organizations like ASEAN, are crucial for counterbalancing China’s influence.
Looking forward, India’s strategy will focus on digital growth, space exploration, artificial intelligence, and strengthening cybersecurity. It’s also important for India to promote democratic values and engage with its diaspora. Maintaining a relationship with Russia is strategic for India, especially to counter the growing ties between China and Russia.
Trump’s possible return to the presidency could mean significant changes in global politics. Established norms might no longer apply, leading to a more unpredictable world. As political analyst Ian Bremmer suggests, we may be entering a “G-Zero world,” where traditional power structures are challenged, and new dynamics take hold.
Nirupama Rao is a former Foreign Secretary and Ambassador of India
Published – January 14, 2025 12:16 am IST
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