In March, the World Meteorological Organization revealed that carbon dioxide levels in our atmosphere are at their highest in 800,000 years. The Earth has warmed by about 1.1-1.3°C since the late 1800s, and by 2100, we could see an increase of around 2.5-3°C. This makes it tricky to predict future changes.
How Will Britain’s Climate Change?
The Met Office says the UK is getting warmer and wetter, especially in winter. Expect wetter winters and drier summers with more extreme weather. Under a “medium emissions” scenario, Britain could warm by about 2-3°C by the end of the century compared to 1990. In London, hot days could become more common, with temperatures reaching 30-35°C, and even hotter days (35-40°C) may appear more frequently.
What Effects Will This Have?
The Climate Change Committee (CCC) has listed major risks for the UK. Here’s a quick overview:
- Food Production: Extreme weather harms crops and biodiversity. Flooding and droughts threaten food security.
- Infrastructure: Drought can stress water supplies, and extreme heat may warp roads and railways.
- Housing: Flooding and overheating can damage properties.
- Health Risks: There may be more heat-related deaths. A study estimated that by 2050, more than 10,000 people could die yearly from heat.
- Economy: The CCC warns the UK’s economic output could drop by up to 7% by 2050.
Will Food Production Be Affected?
Farmers are already feeling the impact. Recent flooding and drought have harmed crops, raising prices. A study revealed that 86% of farmers faced extreme rainfall recently, and 78% struggled with drought. Warmer weather may boost some crops like chickpeas and grapes, but overall, dry summers threaten staples.
What About Flooding?
Since 1900, global sea levels have risen about 16.5cm. By 2100, it may rise between 0.3m and 1.15m. This increase can lead to coastal erosion and flooding, impacting homes and habitats. The Environment Agency notes that already, 13% of agricultural land is at risk of flooding, and over half of the UK’s top agricultural land is vulnerable.
How Will Floods Affect Property?
Currently, 6.3 million properties in England face flood risks, and this could climb to eight million by 2050. Areas might become uninsurable, making them unlivable. In Tenbury Wells, properties have already become hard to insure following multiple floods.
How Will Public Health Be Affected?
Heat waves can lead to numerous deaths. The CCC predicts heat-related fatalities may exceed 10,000 annually by 2050. Additionally, warming climates may spread diseases, making conditions favorable for foodborne illnesses and insect-borne diseases like malaria.
How Can Britain Adapt?
To adapt, the Labour government has set aside over £59 billion for net-zero emissions by 2030. They are also building nine large reservoirs to combat water shortages. The government is increasing funding for flood defenses and has identified dozens of climate risks needing urgent action.
Climate change is real, and its effects are already being felt. As we move forward, adaptation is crucial to protect both people and the environment. For more detailed information, you can check the Climate Change Committee’s report on the risks associated with climate change in the UK.















