Researchers from the University of Copenhagen recently discovered old aerial photos that shed light on the collapse of Antarctic ice shelves. These images date back decades and provide valuable insights to help predict sea level rise. Understanding these changes is crucial for tackling climate change effectively.
One significant event occurred on November 28, 1966. An American flight mapped the Antarctic landscape using a camera possibly borrowed from the US Navy. This plane snapped photos of the Wordie Ice Shelf, once a massive structure in Marguerite Bay, covering about 2,200 square kilometers (849 square miles). However, by the late 1980s, this ice shelf began to retreat. By the early 2000s, it had almost disappeared, leaving only small remnants behind.
The loss of the Wordie Ice Shelf contributed to sea level rise, though it’s worth noting that its effect was relatively minor—only a few millimeters. In contrast, larger ice shelves like the Ronne and Ross hold enough ice to potentially raise sea levels by up to 5 meters (16 feet). This rise won’t just impact Antarctica; it could also affect coastal areas in the Northern Hemisphere.
The team’s research combines these historical photos with contemporary satellite images. This approach allows scientists to see the gradual collapse of ice shelves over time, providing crucial data for improving climate models. Mads Dømgaard, the lead author of the study, emphasized how these insights can help identify early signs of collapse in other ice shelves, demonstrating the ongoing nature of this issue.
Interestingly, the photos were analyzed using advanced photogrammetry, a technique that helps reconstruct details about ice thickness, structure, and flow velocity. While it was previously believed that warmer air and surface meltwater contributed to the Wordie Ice Shelf’s disintegration, the new findings suggest that melting primarily occurred underneath the ice due to rising sea temperatures.
Dømgaard notes that this research implies that ice shelf collapse might happen more slowly than previously thought, indicating a lower risk of rapid sea level rise. However, Anders Anker Bjørk, another author of the study, warns that this slow collapse could make it harder to reverse the trend once it begins. He stresses the importance of reducing greenhouse gas emissions now.
This study reveals critical connections between historical data and present-day climate challenges. It highlights how understanding past events can guide our response to ongoing changes in polar regions. The research is detailed in the journal Nature Communications.
For more insights into changing glaciers, see this informative podcast on glacial transformations in a warming world.