Early in-person voting kicked off Friday in Virginia’s gubernatorial election, signaling a significant political event after last year’s presidential race. This contest could serve as an indicator of how President Trump’s policies are faring.
The candidates are Republican Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears and former Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger. Each held public events to rally support before the November 4 election, with some polls showing Spanberger as the frontrunner.
Spanberger emphasized her focus on the issues affecting everyday Virginians. “People are concerned about rising rent, first-time home buying, and the cost of medicine. Affordability is a top priority,” she explained after casting her vote in West Henrico.
Meanwhile, Earle-Sears held a rally alongside Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy. She highlighted Youngkin’s economic achievements and pointed out that there’s still work to be done in eliminating regulations and boosting job creation.
Virginia’s gubernatorial race often reflects national sentiments. It’s one of only two states to hold elections for governor the year after a presidential election, leading many to view the outcome as a commentary on the sitting president’s performance. Historically, Virginia voters have chosen a governor from the opposing party of the incumbent president since 1977. Earle-Sears hopes to break this trend.
The Trump administration’s policies are influencing this race, particularly regarding cuts to federal jobs through the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). Virginia has around 150,000 federal employees, second only to California. However, the state lost 7,800 federal jobs in the first half of this year alone and is expected to lose a total of 9,300 jobs by 2025, as noted by the University of Virginia’s Weldon Cooper Center.
Spanberger has positioned herself as a critic of Trump, promoting policies that aim to alleviate the financial burden on Virginians. Earle-Sears, while supporting Trump, has focused on her and Youngkin’s record on job creation.
Earle-Sears reiterated her commitment to provide jobs for those in need. Conversely, she attacked Spanberger’s stance on immigration, highlighting her intent to reduce collaboration between state authorities and federal immigration agents.
The campaign faces heightened tension in light of the recent assassination of conservative activist Charlie Kirk at a debate. This tragedy has raised concerns about political violence and security among candidates. Both Spanberger and Earle-Sears condemned the violence, with Spanberger calling it “absolutely horrifying.”
As Virginia heads into the final stretch of this crucial election, the stakes are higher than ever. Voter sentiments and issues of affordability and job security remain paramount, setting the stage for a pivotal election outcome.
For more details, you can explore the Congressional Research Service for statistics on federal job losses in Virginia.

