Negotiations around TikTok have taken a big turn, with talks between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping looming. This week, officials from both countries reached a preliminary agreement that could lead to the sale of TikTok’s U.S. operations to American companies.
If this deal goes through, it could mark a significant moment in U.S.-China trade relations, which have been strained for years. Experts are watching closely to see how this could impact the app’s millions of American users and Beijing’s stance.
Chinese media describes the potential deal as a “win-win.” Trump recently stated he wants to make this happen for the younger generation that loves the app. But there are still many unanswered questions about what any final agreement entails.
Reports suggest that a domestic version of TikTok may be released for U.S. users, possibly managed by a group including tech powerhouse Oracle and investment firms like Andreessen Horowitz. However, key to this discussion is the app’s algorithm, often called its “secret sauce.” This algorithm curates content for users based on their behavior, and it’s what makes TikTok so addictive.
Experts emphasize that replicating this algorithm is challenging. Other platforms like Instagram and YouTube have tried with features like Reels and Shorts, but none match TikTok’s success. A former social media executive remarked, “Typically, the one who creates the tech knows it best.”
As part of the negotiations, ByteDance, TikTok’s parent company, has historically been unwilling to relinquish this valuable asset. However, there are signs that Beijing might allow the licensing of the algorithm instead of a full sale. This could preserve TikTok’s competitive edge while complying with U.S. concerns over data security.
The talk now is about a “lighter” version of the app for the U.S. market. But experts warn that this could limit user diversity and insights into engagement strategies that make TikTok profitable. As Kokil Jaidka from the National University of Singapore notes, “It doesn’t make sense for ByteDance to give away its most valuable asset.” This could lead to a less engaging experience for users, compared to what they currently have.
Despite the excitement, a full agreement may still take time. Deals as significant as this typically require months to finalize. The operation of a U.S.-based TikTok could complicate interactions with the global TikTok platform owned by ByteDance. Moreover, any deal must pass through both U.S. legislative scrutiny and ByteDance’s private board approval.
The stakes are high for both nations. TikTok boasts over a billion users globally, with a substantial user base in the U.S. This app is not just about entertainment; it has evolved into a significant marketplace. A significant proportion of ByteDance’s revenue—up to 50%—is derived from American users, highlighting the app’s commercial importance.
The global revenue for ByteDance is projected to reach $39 billion in 2024, largely driven by TikTok’s success. Licensing the technology will allow China to maintain a strategic advantage while keeping TikTok accessible in the U.S. This arrangement could also set a precedent for other Chinese companies looking to enter the U.S. market.
Experts suggest that this deal might actually empower China in future negotiations. It could be presented as a way for Chinese technology to enter the U.S. economy on favorable terms, potentially smoothing tensions between the two countries. A former World Bank director noted the positivity in talks so far, but the timing of a complete agreement remains uncertain.
In summary, while a deal around TikTok is on the horizon, it carries complexities that could impact its user experience and broader U.S.-China relations. A U.S. version of TikTok may still attract scrutiny, and trust issues could always emerge. What looks good on paper may not align with real-world applications, presenting a unique blend of technological and geopolitical challenges ahead.



















