Why Experts Believe Trump Won’t Secure the Nobel Peace Prize This Year: Insights and Analysis

Stavanger, Norway – The conversation around the Nobel Peace Prize often includes big names, and this year, Donald Trump is certainly one of them. Despite the buzz from his recent nominations, experts believe his chances of winning remain slim.

The Norwegian Nobel Committee generally looks for lasting impacts in peace efforts rather than just quick wins. They prize work that builds international cooperation, which contrasts with Trump’s style of navigating foreign relations. His approach has raised eyebrows, as it often seems to sideline multilateral agreements and climate change concerns—issues many consider crucial for global peace.

Since 2018, Trump has received several nominations, including one from Rep. Claudia Tenney for his role in the Abraham Accords, which improved relations between Israel and various Arab nations in 2020. However, critics point out that his record doesn’t align well with the Nobel’s focus on meaningful and sustained peace initiatives.

Historian Theo Zenou emphasizes a key point: “There’s a huge difference between stopping fighting now and addressing the underlying causes of conflicts.” His insight raises an important question about Trump’s legacy when it comes to long-term peace.

Interestingly, Trump’s public push for the prize, where he claims he “deserves” it, could backfire. Nina Græger, head of the Peace Research Institute Oslo, suggests that the committee might feel pressured if they were to award him the prize, similar to the backlash they faced in 2009 when they awarded Barack Obama early in his presidency.

As the Nobel announcements approach, starting with medicine and ending with the Peace Prize, Twitter and other social media platforms are filled with mixed reactions. Supporters tout Trump’s initiatives, while critics call for the committee to remain selective in their choice, preferring candidates who truly embody peace.

In the end, can we expect Trump to take home the prize? It seems unlikely, especially given the committee’s track record of prioritizing genuine contributions to peace over mere political popularity.



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