Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently indicated that President Trump’s plan to give $2,000 tariff rebate checks to many Americans would need approval from Congress. On Fox News, Bessent mentioned, “We will see. We need legislation for that,” implying the checks might be possible with the right support. Trump’s idea has been floating around for months, often tying it to tariffs. He claims that people against tariffs are “FOOLS!” and suggests that families could receive these rebates, excluding higher-income individuals.
However, this plan faces potential roadblocks. The Supreme Court might invalidate many of Trump’s tariffs, which are being challenged based on the president’s use of an emergency law. During recent hearings, several conservative justices expressed concerns about this legal approach. This uncertainty could impact how the rebate system would work if the tariffs get struck down.
There’s ongoing debate about whether tariffs contribute to rising inflation. Some in Trump’s economic team argue that tariffs shouldn’t be seen as a tax on Americans. Bessent raised an interesting point, questioning what the Supreme Court would do if tariffs were reversed. He worried about whether consumers would receive refunds or if certain importers would suddenly profit.
On another trade front, the U.S. is still working on a deal with China concerning rare-earth minerals, crucial for electronics and military uses. Bessent is optimistic about securing an agreement by Thanksgiving after an earlier framework aimed to prevent additional tariffs.
Historically, the U.S. has faced trade disputes that have led to shutdowns and economic challenges. For example, the longest government shutdown in U.S. history recently ended. Such events can slow economic growth and impact consumer sentiments. Bessent acknowledged this setback and hinted at a possible sluggish GDP quarter ahead.
Looking ahead, he noted that inflation might decline in early 2026, leading to increased real income for many. “When those two lines cross, Americans are going to feel it,” he stated, hopeful for improved financial conditions.
In response to rising grocery prices, the Trump administration announced that certain agricultural imports would be exempt from high tariffs. Average grocery prices have risen, with items like coffee and bananas seeing significant increases in recent months. However, economic experts, including Kevin Hassett from the National Economic Council, believe that increasing supplies will eventually lead to lower prices.
Interestingly, consumer sentiment is on the decline, plummeting to 50.3 this month from 53.6 in October, according to a University of Michigan survey. This drop can be concerning as we head into the holiday season, highlighting the link between economic policies and public sentiment.
For further insights on economic trends and policies, you can refer to [this report by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis](https://www.bea.gov).



















