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On Tuesday, Wisconsin’s spring election will showcase key races for state Supreme Court, state schools chief, and a crucial constitutional amendment requiring photo ID for voting. This election offers a fresh glimpse into the state’s political landscape after former President Donald Trump’s narrow victory in Wisconsin last November, winning by just 0.86 percentage points—making it the closest state in the election.

In the competitive Supreme Court race, Dane County Judge Susan Crawford and Waukesha County Judge Brad Schimel are vying to succeed Justice Ann Walsh Bradley, who is retiring. Although the justices are officially nonpartisan, political affiliations often come into play. Crawford is backed by Democrats, including an endorsement from Barack Obama, while Schimel enjoys support from Republicans, including Trump and Elon Musk.

Since 2023, the court has seen a shift to a 4-3 liberal majority after Janet Protasiewicz defeated a conservative opponent. Bradley’s retirement could allow conservatives a chance to reclaim a majority, especially with upcoming high-stakes cases on issues like abortion and voting rights.

Also on the ballot is the race for state superintendent of public instruction. Incumbent Jill Underly aims for re-election against Brittany Kinser, an education consultant. Both candidates are endorsed by their respective party establishments, with Underly previously winning 58% of the vote in 2021.

Wisconsin’s voting patterns typically show Democrats winning in larger counties like Milwaukee and Dane, while Republicans dominate in rural areas. The contest often hinges on margins in suburban zones, particularly in Waukesha, Ozaukee, and Washington counties, which can tip the balance.

Recent Voting Behavior: A notable trend emerged in the 2023 elections, where Protasiewicz secured high support in both Milwaukee and Dane County, garnering 73% and 82% of the votes, respectively, and winning statewide by a solid margin. Comparatively, Harris had 68% and 75% in the same areas in 2024 but lost overall. This reflects how important local votes are in shaping state-wide outcomes.

As of March 1, Wisconsin boasted over 3.8 million active registered voters. In the 2023 spring election, around 1.8 million votes were cast, equating to 51% of registered voters. It’s expected that turnout will be strong again this year, with early voting reports reflecting a keen interest among residents.

Timeline for Results: Historically, the Associated Press has reported early results shortly after polls close. For example, in the recent spring election, initial results were available just minutes after 9 p.m. ET. The organization carries a commitment to accuracy, ensuring that results are only called when outcomes are clear, with provisions for recounts if margins are tight.

As we approach the election day, it’s clear that this election will serve as a barometer for many issues facing Wisconsin, potentially shaping the future political landscape in the state.

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