Germany’s departing Foreign Minister, Annalena Baerbock, recently warned that resistance against climate action is growing. She emphasized that immediate action is crucial to prevent future economic instability. "Ignoring climate action now could lead to much higher costs later," she stated, highlighting the importance of addressing climate change as severe weather events continue to increase globally.
The urgency of the situation is underscored by the upcoming Petersberg Climate Dialogue in Berlin, which will set the stage for the COP30 climate summit in Brazil this November. Baerbock noted that the Paris Agreement, aimed at limiting global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius, faces significant pressure, especially with the recent withdrawal of the U.S. from the accord under Donald Trump’s administration. This withdrawal has been described as a "deep crisis" for global climate cooperation by Martin Kaiser from Greenpeace Germany.
Despite the challenges, delegates at the Petersberg Dialogue are committed to moving forward. German climate envoy Jennifer Morgan assured that the Paris Agreement is "alive and well." She stressed the need for international cooperation, especially in light of a year marked by extreme weather events, which many scientists attribute to climate change.
Recent findings from a joint report by the OECD and UNDP revealed that less climate action now will hinder future economic growth. In fact, if nations invest ambitiously in climate solutions, global GDP could increase by up to 3% by the middle of the century. Baerbock emphasized that investments in renewable energies are already outpacing those in fossil fuels, with clean tech accounting for 10% of China’s GDP in the last year.
The report also highlighted the potential economic risks of inadequate climate policies. For example, unclear policies could reduce GDP by 0.75% by 2030, demonstrating the urgency for updated climate commitments, known as Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). Currently, many countries are expected to present their new climate objectives ahead of COP30, but progress is slow.
Experts like Christoph Bals from Germanwatch point out that the world’s largest carbon emitters, particularly the EU and China, play pivotal roles in determining the future of climate action. Bals noted that there is hope for collaboration despite the U.S. withdrawal, with many U.S. states continuing to pursue climate-friendly policies.
EU Climate Commissioner Wopke Hoekstra reaffirmed that the EU will submit its updated NDCs soon. He expressed optimism that various U.S. states are continuing their climate efforts regardless of federal decisions. The growing trend towards renewable energy and electric vehicles is seen as both a challenge and an opportunity for broader climate action.
The need for countries to work together has never been more urgent. Andre Correa do Lago, the incoming president of COP30, reminded everyone that "no country can solve this crisis alone." Strong partnerships and accountability are essential as the world races against time to meet climate targets.
As we continue to face the fallout from climate change, the stakes couldn’t be higher. We must act swiftly to safeguard our planet and economies for the future.
For more insights on climate change and its economic impacts, you can refer to the OECD report on climate action.