The world is nearing a critical 1.5°C of warming. This raises an important question: how severe could the impact be? One answer may be found in the layers of rock beneath our feet.
These ancient rocks hold secrets about life on Earth. For palaeontologists, they offer insights into how life adapted during periods of rapid warming. Our recent study reveals that plants struggled greatly, with forests taking millions of years to bounce back.
About 252 million years ago, the end-Permian mass extinction wiped out over 80% of marine species. This event, triggered by huge amounts of greenhouse gases from volcanic eruptions in the Siberian Traps, represents one of the most extreme climatic crises in Earth’s history.
While it seems that plants may not have undergone a mass extinction, their communities suffered greatly. They faced extreme heat, deadly droughts, ozone depletion, severe wildfires, and contamination from heavy metals. This created an incredibly hostile environment.
Interestingly, the impact of the end-Permian event on plant life at higher latitudes is less understood, although thriving ecosystems existed then, supported by a mostly ice-free polar region. Unfortunately, this ecosystem was completely lost.
Our research focused on the rocks and fossils of Sydney, which was near the south pole for at least 8 million years after the extinction. These well-preserved records offer valuable insights into how plant communities recovered far from the disturbances.
A Turbulent Recovery
The plant fossils we studied showed that conifers, similar to today’s pines and cypresses, were among the first to appear after the catastrophe. However, the journey back to thriving forests was far from easy.
Even two million years later, rising temperatures caused many of these conifers to fail, leading to the rise of hardier, shrubby plants like Isoetes. While the details about how hot it got in Sydney are unclear, this intense heat lasted around 700,000 years, posing challenges for larger plants.
Once cooler temperatures returned, unique large plants resembling ferns but bearing seeds like conifers began to thrive. This recovery took less than 100,000 years and led to stable forests in Sydney, eventually paving the way for lush landscapes during the age of dinosaurs.
However, the forests that grew back were fundamentally different from those before the extinction. The term “recovery” can be tricky; while forests can regrow, species loss is permanent.
By studying how ancient plant ecosystems dealt with drastic climate changes, we hope to glean lessons relevant to today. This understanding can help us inform policymakers and shape strategies to avoid severe climate outcomes in the future.
Fossil records provide essential long-term insights into our climate choices. Ecosystems rely on a delicate balance, with plants playing a key role in supporting life and regulating climate. The lessons from the past highlight the importance of protecting our current ecosystems.
The fossilized remains remind us that disruptions can have lastingly negative effects. Thus, safeguarding today’s ecosystems is more crucial than ever.