The Bharat Forecast System has just been launched to help India tackle extreme weather events. Developed by the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, this innovative system marks a significant leap in weather forecasting technology. It can predict weather down to the panchayat level, which is vital for local communities.
The system has been in experimental use since 2022, showing promising results, including a 30% improvement in extreme rainfall forecasts. In crucial areas, like during the monsoon season, the forecast accuracy improved by a striking 64%. Additionally, predictions for cyclones now have better accuracy in terms of track and intensity.
This year alone, Delhi experienced intense dust storms and thunderstorms, resulting in tragic fatalities and significant disruptions. While the weather caught many off guard, the launch of the Bharat Forecast System aims to change that narrative. The previous forecasting system required around 12-13 hours to generate predictions. The new system does it in just 3-4 hours, making timely responses more feasible.
According to Suryachandra Rao, the director of IITM, the system operates at a resolution of 6 km in tropical regions, which enhances detail and accuracy. Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, director-general of the India Meteorological Department, added that this model could also support defense and disaster management operations, helping with quicker rescue responses.
Historically, India has developed numerical weather models since 1994. Each iteration has aimed to enhance forecasting capabilities, with the Bharat Forecast System being the latest and most sophisticated. Unlike earlier models, which relied heavily on global data, this one is indigenously developed and offers more localized predictions.
As extreme weather becomes more frequent due to climate change, reliable forecasting is crucial. In recent years, studies have shown that 70% of the Indian population is highly vulnerable to climate impacts. Thus, advancements like the Bharat Forecast System are not just timely but necessary.
User reactions on social media have been largely positive, with many expressing hope that improved forecasts can lead to better preparedness and fewer casualties in extreme weather situations. As we face increasing unpredictability in climate patterns, effective tools like this forecast system are essential for safeguarding lives and infrastructure.
For more comprehensive insights into India’s weather forecasting advancements, you can refer to the Ministry of Earth Sciences’ recent reports and findings. Understanding these developments will help communities stay informed and better prepared for what lies ahead.
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