The Republican primary for the U.S. Senate in Texas is heading to a runoff because no candidate reached the required 50% of the vote. As reported by the Associated Press, with more than 70% of the results in, Senator John Cornyn secured 42.3% while Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton garnered 40.9%. Congressman Wesley Hunt received 13.1% of the vote.
The runoff will occur on May 26, where Cornyn will face Paxton. The winner will compete against either Rep. Jasmine Crockett or state lawmaker James Talarico, both engaged in a close contest on Election Day.
This Senate race is pivotal, as it may offer Democrats a chance to win their first statewide office in Texas in over 30 years. It could also reflect wider trends for midterm elections, as parties gauge their direction moving forward.
In the GOP primary, candidates Paxton, Cornyn, and Hunt each aimed to align themselves closely with former President Trump. Cornyn remarked, “President Trump’s agenda hangs in the balance.” He is wary of Paxton’s controversial past, calling him a “flawed candidate.” Cornyn seeks a fifth term, which would make him the longest-serving senator from Texas, surpassing a record held since the early 1900s.
Joshua Blank, a political expert from the Texas Politics Project, notes that Cornyn’s long tenure might backfire in today’s political climate. “His traditional approach seems out of sync with the evolving Republican base,” he said. As the campaign progresses, polls have shown Paxton often leading or tied with Cornyn.
Paxton accuses Cornyn of being too cooperative with Democrats, especially regarding gun control, saying, “He sold us out.” Political consultant Bill Miller adds that the runoff will attract dedicated primary voters, likely favoring Paxton.
On the Democratic side, Crockett and Talarico are vying for the nomination. Both are looking to flip Cornyn’s seat blue. However, confusion among voters in Dallas County delayed results, with many turned away from polling sites. This disruption may have influenced turnout and results in a tight race.
Crockett’s entry into the race followed a controversial redistricting, which disadvantaged some Democrats. Her outspoken style has drawn attention and support. Meanwhile, Talarico, who has campaigned to attract moderate and disaffected Republican voters, faced heightened competition as both candidates sought funding and visibility.
As of mid-February, spending in this Senate primary reached $99 million, making it the most expensive in Texas history. Cornyn’s campaign alone accounted for nearly $59 million. These escalating costs underline the high stakes involved, not only for the immediate election but for future shifts in the demographic and political landscape, particularly among Latino voters, who are becoming increasingly significant in Texas politics.
This race is crucial for understanding how parties engage with changing voter bases and evolving political landscapes ahead of upcoming elections.

