Unlocking Synergy: How the Modi-Trump Meeting Exceeded Expectations for Global Relations

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s recent trip to the U.S. came at the perfect time. Instead of waiting for President Trump—known for his unpredictable nature and focus on tariffs—Modi took charge. He reached out to discuss how both nations could address their concerns constructively.

This visit was a smart move by Modi. He wanted to set the tone for India-U.S. relations early in Trump’s second term. Modi banked on the connection he built with Trump during the first term, hoping to maintain the positive energy around their relationship.

India has some allies in Trump’s inner circle, like Secretary of State Marco Rubio and National Security Adviser Michael Waltz. This could help cushion the impact of any surprises from Trump. He feels confident in his approach and appears to prefer information that aligns with his views. While this could be beneficial in some areas, like his plan to end the Ukraine war, it could negatively affect other matters, such as his ideas for Gaza.

Modi’s early visit was wise. Trump tends to skim over details and relies on impressions, evident when he inaccurately stated that the trade deficit with India was $100 billion—it’s actually $45.6 billion. He also hinted at historical issues with Bangladesh without clear context.

Surprisingly, just weeks into Trump’s new term, the two countries managed to produce a significant joint statement during Modi’s visit. This document prioritized U.S. defense and trade interests but also highlighted India’s goals in technology and innovation, among other areas.

During their conversations, Trump made it clear that he wants India to boost defense purchases from the U.S., which is evident in the joint statement. For the first time, sections on defense took prominence, mentioning sales and co-production of military equipment like the Stryker Infantry Combat Vehicle and Javelin anti-tank missiles.

Another important initiative mentioned is the Autonomous Systems Industry Alliance (ASIA), aimed at fostering partnerships in the Indo-Pacific region. This initiative could facilitate collaboration between Indian and U.S. companies on advanced technology and unmanned systems.

India has long sought a review of U.S. export controls, specifically regarding arms regulations. The two nations also intend to enhance their military cooperation in the Indo-Pacific, focusing on logistics and intelligence sharing.

Additionally, the U.S.-India COMPACT initiative aims to enhance military partnerships and commerce for the future. This year, a ten-year framework for defense cooperation will be signed, aiming to double bilateral trade to $500 billion by 2030 through a new trade agreement.

On the energy front, Trump aims to make the U.S. a leading supplier of oil and gas to India. Modi is open to the idea, but the agreement will depend on several factors, including production rates and pricing.

The two leaders renewed their commitment to the U.S.-India Energy Security Partnership, with plans for nuclear cooperation and new technology transfers in the coming years. They also touched on the importance of critical minerals, announcing a new program to recover and process minerals crucial for technology.

In space exploration, a NASA-ISRO project will aim to send an Indian astronaut to the International Space Station and launch a mission to map Earth’s surface.

The joint statement mentions the Indo-Pacific region without directly referencing the situation with China. However, both leaders plan to activate new initiatives in the region to enhance security and cooperation.

Modi and Trump are also eager to push forward the India-Middle East-Europe Corridor, which could present more opportunities for cooperation in critical areas despite the complexities in the region.

On immigration, the leaders agreed to create frameworks for legal mobility for students and professionals, while addressing illegal immigration issues as well. They emphasized mutual benefits in people-to-people ties, particularly highlighting the contributions of the Indian student community to the U.S. economy.

Interestingly, the joint statement did not mention the Ukraine or Gaza conflicts, although Modi expressed support for ending the war in Ukraine during their press conference.

Overall, Modi’s visit to the U.S. exceeded expectations, leading to meaningful discussions and agreements that could strengthen the India-U.S. partnership for years to come.

(Kanwal Sibal was Foreign Secretary and Ambassador to Turkey, Egypt, France, and Russia, and Deputy Chief Of Mission in Washington.)

Disclaimer: These are the personal opinions of the author.